Mariners vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 6

Cal Raleigh and the Seattle Mariners will try to defeat Nick Gonzales and the Pittsburgh Pirates when the teams meet on Sunday at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Mariners are -117 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Pirates (-102). Pittsburgh is a 1.5-run favorite (at +176 odds). A 6.5-run total has been set in the game.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Pirates vs. Mariners Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Seattle Mariners.

Mariners vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
• How to watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW and SportsNet PT

Mariners vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mariners 54%, Pirates 46%

Mariners vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Mariners have been favorites in 58 games this season and won 32 (55.2%) of those contests.
• Seattle has a record of 29-24 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -117 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.9% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
• The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 62 games this year and have walked away with the win 25 times (40.3%) in those games.
• Pittsburgh has a mark of 21-35 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 50.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• The Mariners went 6-3 across the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Mariners and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mariners are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Raleigh has put up a team-high 35 home runs and 74 runs batted in.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Raleigh's home run total ranks him first, and his RBI tally puts him second.
• Julio Rodriguez is batting .247 with 12 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 24 walks.
• Rodriguez is 80th in homers and 71st in RBI on the season.
• J.P. Crawford has racked up a team-best batting average of .285.
• Crawford is on a seven-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last 10 games he is batting .318 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
• Randy Arozarena is hitting .248 with 20 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 41 walks.

Mariners Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Pirates are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Oneil Cruz paces the Pirates with 15 long balls.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Cruz's home run total ranks 38th and his RBI tally is 114th.
• Bryan Reynolds has racked up 45 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Reynolds ranks 103rd in home runs and 58th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Andrew McCutchen paces the Pirates' lineup with a .262 batting average.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa is hitting .272 with 10 doubles, two triples, a home run and 13 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Pirates vs. Mariners Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Seattle Mariners.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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