Mariners vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 17

Juan Soto and the New York Mets take the field on Sunday at Muncy Bank Ballpark at Historic Bowman Field against George Kirby, who is starting for the Seattle Mariners. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. The Mets have been listed as +101 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Mariners (-121). Seattle (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under for the contest has been set at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mariners vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Seattle Mariners and New York Mets.

Mariners vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, August 17, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Muncy Bank Ballpark at Historic Bowman Field in Williamsport, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: ESPN

Mariners vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Mariners 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mariners 52%, Mets 48%

Mariners vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Mariners have been favored 85 times and won 47, or 55.3%, of those games.
• Seattle has a record of 40-30 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -121 on the moneyline.
• The Mariners have a 54.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Mets have won in 14, or 37.8%, of the 37 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, New York has won eight of 21 games when listed as at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 49.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• The Mariners have a 6-3 record over the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Mariners combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
• The Mariners have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Cal Raleigh has racked up a team-high 46 home runs and 100 runs batted in.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Raleigh's home run total places him first, and his RBI tally ranks him second.
• Raleigh carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and two RBIs.
• Josh Naylor's .289 batting average paces his team.
• Naylor is 94th in home runs and 31st in RBI in the bigs.
• Julio Rodriguez has 21 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .257.
• Eugenio Suarez has 21 doubles, 38 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .235.
• Suarez brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .222 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBIs.

Mariners Team Props

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• In four games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Mets had a record of 1-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• The Mets have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Soto has launched a team-high 30 home runs.
• Soto's home run total puts him seventh in the big leagues, and he is 27th in RBI.
• Soto carries a nine-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .278 with five home runs, eight walks and eight RBIs.
• Pete Alonso has 100 runs batted in while batting .268. Both lead his team.
• Alonso ranks ninth in homers and second in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Francisco Lindor has 24 doubles, 24 home runs and 41 walks while hitting .255.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .253 with 23 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks.

Mets Team Props

Mariners vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Seattle Mariners and New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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