
Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24
Jack Flaherty takes the mound for the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday at Progressive Field against Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Oddsmakers list the Guardians as -149 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Tigers +126 moneyline odds to win. Cleveland is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +148 odds). The over/under is 7.5 runs for this game.
Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX
Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, September 24, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to watch on TV: CLEG and FDSDET
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -149 | +126 | 7.5 | -115 | -105 | -1.5 | +148 | -179 |
Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction
- Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Tigers 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Tigers 48%
Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights
- The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 67 times this season and won 42, or 62.7%, of those games.
- Cleveland has entered 15 games this season favored by -149 or more and is 11-4 in those contests.
- The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 59.8% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
- The Tigers have won in 22, or 47.8%, of the 46 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Detroit has been victorious six times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +126 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 44.2% chance of pulling out a win.
Guardians Recent Betting Performance
- The Guardians were the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and they went 4-1 in those matchups.
- Over their last 10 outings, the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the total two times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Guardians' ATS record is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.
Guardians Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 1.80 |
| K/9 | 11.6 |
Guardians Player Insights
- Ramirez has racked up a team-best batting average of .282, while leading the Guardians in home runs (30) and runs batted in (82).
- Among all batters in the majors, Ramirez ranks 21st in homers and 42nd in RBI.
- Ramirez takes a hitting streak of six games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .278 with two doubles, two home runs, seven walks and five RBIs.
- Steven Kwan is hitting .277 with 29 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 54 walks.
- Among all major league hitters, Kwan ranks 186th in homers and 140th in RBI.
- Kwan carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .409 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and six RBIs.
- Kyle Manzardo is hitting .236 with 18 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 48 walks.
- Manzardo is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .158 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
- Angel Martinez is batting .228 with 23 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 22 walks.
Guardians Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Manzardo | 0.5 (-199) | 1.5 (+124) | - | 0.5 (+141) |
| José Ramírez | 0.5 (-262) | 1.5 (+100) | - | 0.5 (+134) |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 (+186) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+227) |
| Tanner Bibee | - | - | - | - |
| Angel Martinez | - | - | - | - |
Tigers Recent Betting Performance
- The Tigers are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Tigers are 1-9-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Tigers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 1-9 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.4 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.09 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Tigers Player Insights
- Gleyber Torres has 22 doubles, 16 home runs and 85 walks while batting .259.
- Torres is 123rd in homers and 66th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
- Riley Greene proven to be a run producer as he paces his team with 35 home runs and 110 RBI, with a team-high .261 batting average.
- Greene is 10th overall in home runs and fifth in RBI this year.
- Spencer Torkelson has 27 doubles, a triple, 31 home runs and 70 walks while hitting .241.
- Zach McKinstry has 23 doubles, 11 triples, 12 home runs and 46 walks while hitting .260.
Tigers Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 (-188) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+173) |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+144) | - | 0.5 (+230) |
| Jack Flaherty | - | - | - | - |
| Zach McKinstry | 0.5 (-122) | - | - | 0.5 (+296) |
| Wenceel Perez | 0.5 (-164) | - | - | 0.5 (+253) |
Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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