
Guardians vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 6
Steven Kwan and Nathaniel Lowe will be among the star attractions when the Cleveland Guardians face the Washington Nationals on Tuesday at 3:35 p.m. ET, at Nationals Park. The Guardians are the favorite in this one, at -118, while the underdog Nationals have -101 odds to play spoiler. Cleveland is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +137 odds). The total is 9.5 runs for this game.
Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Guardians vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX
Guardians vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds
- When: Tuesday, May 6, 2025 at 3:35 p.m. ET
- Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
- How to watch on TV: MASN2 and CLEG
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -118 | -101 | 9.5 | -101 | -119 | -1.5 | +137 | -164 |
Guardians vs. Nationals Prediction
- Score Prediction: Nationals 6, Guardians 5
- Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Nationals 48%
Guardians vs. Nationals Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have been favored 13 times and won 10, or 76.9%, of those games.
- Cleveland has a record of 8-2, a 80% win rate, when favored by -118 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 29 games this season and have come away with the win 14 times (48.3%) in those contests.
- This year, Washington has won 12 of 26 games when listed as at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 50.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Guardians Recent Betting Performance
- The Guardians went 2-1 over the three games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
- The Guardians' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.
Guardians Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.80 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
Guardians Player Insights
- The Guardians best hitter so far this season is Kwan, who's hitting at a team-leading .333 rate along with four homers and 16 RBI.
- Among all MLB hitters, Kwan is sixth in batting average, 24th in on-base percentage, and 45th in slugging.
- Kwan takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
- Jose Ramirez is batting .265 with five doubles, five home runs and 10 walks.
- Of all MLB hitters, Ramirez is 59th in homers and 88th in RBI.
- Kyle Manzardo leads the Guardians in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (20).
- Carlos Santana has two doubles, three home runs and 15 walks while hitting .219.
Guardians Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Ramírez | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+100) | - | 0.5 (+125) |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 (+180) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+205) |
| Nolan Jones | 0.5 (-150) | 0.5 (-150) | - | 0.5 (+230) |
| Kyle Manzardo | 0.5 (-175) | 0.5 (-180) | - | 0.5 (+130) |
| Gabriel Arias | 0.5 (-195) | 0.5 (-200) | - | 0.5 (+230) |
Nationals Recent Betting Performance
- The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Nationals have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.
Nationals Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 6.09 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
Nationals Player Insights
- James Wood paces the Nationals with nine home runs.
- Among all batters in MLB, Wood's home run total is seventh and his RBI tally is 32nd.
- Wood brings a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .368 with two doubles and four walks.
- Lowe has put up 27 runs batted in to lead his team.
- Lowe is 44th overall in home runs and eighth in RBI this season.
- Luis Garcia is hitting .234 with five doubles, three home runs and eight walks.
- C.J. Abrams is batting .284 with five doubles, two triples, four home runs and four walks.
Nationals Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+200) |
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 0.5 (-180) | 0.5 (-180) | - | 0.5 (+145) |
| Jose Tena | 0.5 (-170) | 0.5 (-170) | - | 0.5 (+190) |
Guardians vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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