Guardians vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 17

Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians play Matt Olson and the Atlanta Braves at Progressive Field on Sunday. First pitch is at 1:40 p.m. ET. The Guardians are favored in this one, at -116, while the underdog Braves have -104 odds to win. Cleveland is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 9-run total is set in this game.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Atlanta Braves and Cleveland Guardians.

Guardians vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, August 17, 2025 at 1:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to watch on TV: CLEG and FDSSO

Guardians vs. Braves Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Braves 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Guardians 53%, Braves 47%

Guardians vs. Braves Betting Insights

• This season, the Guardians have won 33 out of the 54 games, or 61.1%, in which they've been favored.
• Cleveland has a record of 30-19, a 61.2% win rate, when favored by -116 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
• The Braves have been victorious in 11, or 29.7%, of the 37 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Atlanta has been victorious nine times in 33 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Braves have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians were favored on the moneyline for seven of their last 10 games, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
• The Guardians' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Ramirez is the bat to watch in the Guardians lineup, leading the team in batting average (.293), home runs (25), and RBI (64).
• Ramirez is 15th in home runs and 51st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Steven Kwan has 22 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 42 walks while batting .279.
• Kwan is 157th in homers and 168th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Kwan carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a double, a home run, a walk and an RBI.
• Carlos Santana has nine doubles, 11 home runs and 52 walks while batting .227.
• Kyle Manzardo is batting .240 with 14 doubles, two triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Braves had a record of 5-2.
• The Braves and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Braves are 8-2-0 against the spread.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Olson has posted a team-high batting average of .264 while leading the Braves in runs batted in with a mark of 72.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Olson's home run total ranks 50th and his RBI tally is 22nd.
• Olson brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with three doubles, four walks and two RBIs.
• Marcell Ozuna has put his power on display as he paces his team with 20 home runs.
• Ozuna ranks 42nd in home runs and 62nd in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Michael Harris II has 21 doubles, six triples, 14 home runs and 13 walks while hitting .254.
• Ozzie Albies is hitting .224 with 16 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 46 walks.

Braves Team Props

Braves vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Atlanta Braves and Cleveland Guardians.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Cleveland Guardians

Atlanta Braves