Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks NLDS Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 7

The NLDS starts Saturday at 9:20 PM ET when the Los Angeles Dodgers host the Arizona Diamondbacks live from Dodger Stadium, and airing on TBS. The favored Dodgers have -195 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at +164. Los Angeles is favored on the run line (-1.5). The matchup's total has been set at 8.5 runs.

The Dodgers will start Clayton Kershaw (13-5) versus the Diamondbacks and Merrill Kelly (12-8).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 9:20 PM ET
• Where: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Dodgers 4, Diamondbacks 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Dodgers 59%, Diamondbacks 41%

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 137 times this season and won 87, or 63.5%, of those games.
• Los Angeles has a record of 26-15 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -195 on the moneyline.
• The Dodgers have a 66.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 43, or 48.3%, of the 89 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Arizona has come away with a win four times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +164 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 37.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

• The Dodgers went 6-4 over the 10 games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Dodgers and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
• The Dodgers' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Dodgers Player Insights

• Mookie Betts leads the Dodgers with 39 home runs and 107 runs batted in.
• Among all MLB hitters, Betts is sixth in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging.
• Betts brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with four walks and two RBI.
• Freddie Freeman is hitting .334 to pace his team.
• Freeman ranks 30th in homers in baseball, and 12th in RBI.
• Max Muncy has 17 doubles, a triple, 36 home runs and 85 walks while batting .212.
• Will Smith has 21 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 63 walks while hitting .261.
• Smith takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with a home run, a walk and four RBI.

Dodgers Team Props

Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• In four games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Diamondbacks had a record of 2-2.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Diamondbacks are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Corbin Carroll paces the Diamondbacks with a team-leading batting average of .287.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Carroll ranks 46th in homers and 70th in RBI.
• Christian Walker been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 33 home runs and 103 RBI.
• Walker is currently 16th in home runs and 12th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Ketel Marte has 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks while hitting .276.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .263 with 35 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props