
Brewers vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 2
The New York Mets and Juan Soto take the field in the first game of a three-game series against Joey Ortiz and the Milwaukee Brewers, on Wednesday at Citi Field. The Brewers are favored in this one, at -120, while the underdog Mets have +101 odds to play spoiler. Milwaukee is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the matchup has been set at 8.5 runs.
Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Rockies vs. Brewers Highlights | MLB on FOX
Brewers vs. Mets Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, July 2, 2025 at 1:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to watch on TV: SNY and FDSWI
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -120 | +101 | 8.5 | -111 | -109 | -1.5 | +138 | -167 |
Brewers vs. Mets Prediction
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Brewers 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Brewers 52%, Mets 48%
Brewers vs. Mets Betting Insights
- The Brewers have won 28, or 66.7%, of the 42 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Milwaukee has entered 31 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 22-9 in those contests.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 54.5% chance to win.
- The Mets have been victorious in nine, or 36%, of the 25 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- New York has a mark of 5-10 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +101 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 49.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Brewers Recent Betting Performance
- The Brewers have a 3-2 record from the five games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Brewers and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
- The Brewers' ATS record is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.
Brewers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.8 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.52 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
Brewers Player Insights
- Jackson Chourio is hitting .254 with 22 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 16 walks.
- Chourio's home runs place him 44th in MLB, and he is 27th in RBI.
- Christian Yelich has put his power on display as he paces his team with 16 home runs and 60 runs batted in.
- Yelich ranks 26th in home runs and 10th in RBI on the year.
- Yelich enters this matchup looking for his 13th game in a row with a hit. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .395 with four doubles, two home runs, three walks and 17 RBIs.
- Sal Frelick has racked up a team-high batting average of .300.
- Brice Turang is batting .289 with 13 doubles, five home runs and 36 walks.
- Turang has recorded at least one hit in 13 games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .405 with four doubles, a home run, a walk and nine RBIs.
Brewers Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Contreras | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+205) |
| Sal Frelick | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+155) | - | 0.5 (+270) |
| Jackson Chourio | 0.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+155) |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+150) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
| Brice Turang | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+155) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
Mets Recent Betting Performance
- The Mets have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
- The Mets have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.
Mets Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 6.67 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Mets Player Insights
- Soto paces the Mets with 20 long balls.
- In all of MLB, Soto ranks 10th in home runs and 35th in RBI.
- Soto takes a hitting streak of five games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with three home runs, two walks and four RBIs.
- Pete Alonso has a club-best 65 RBI and .291 batting average.
- Alonso is 16th overall in homers and fifth in RBI this season.
- Francisco Lindor is hitting .258 with 15 doubles, 16 home runs and 29 walks.
- Brandon Nimmo is batting .255 with 15 doubles, 15 home runs and 25 walks.
Mets Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+220) |
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 (-195) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+140) |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 (-170) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+205) |
| Ronny Mauricio | - | - | - | - |
Rockies vs. Brewers Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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