Braves vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 18

Braves vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 18

Updated Jul. 18, 2025 7:01 p.m. ET
FOX Sports

Sean Murphy and the Atlanta Braves play Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees at Truist Park on Friday at 7:15 p.m. ET, in the first game of a three-game series. Bookmakers list the Braves as -135 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Yankees +115 moneyline odds. Atlanta is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +149 odds). An 8.5-run over/under is set in this game.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Yankees game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, July 18, 2025 at 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to watch on TV: MLB Network, FDSSO, and YES
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -135 +115 8.5 -117 -103 -1.5 +149 -181

Braves vs. Yankees Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Braves 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 51%, Yankees 49%

Braves vs. Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 74 games this season and won 37 (50%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta has a record of 28-30, a 48.3% win rate, when favored by -135 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Braves have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have come away with three wins in the 10 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, New York has been victorious one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves went 2-5 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Braves combined with their opponents to go over the total five times.
  • The Braves' record against the spread is 2-8-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 18
ERA 4.99
K/9 10.3

Braves Player Insights

  • Matt Olson has gone yard 17 times in the 2025 campaign while driving in 61 runs, both totals that lead the Braves.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Olson's home run total places him 31st, and his RBI tally puts him 16th.
  • Marcell Ozuna is hitting .239 with 11 doubles, 13 home runs and 64 walks.
  • Ozuna is 70th in homers in the majors, and 85th in RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies is hitting .220 with 12 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 33 walks.
  • Albies has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .167 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.
  • Ronald Acuna is hitting .323 with seven doubles, 12 home runs and 32 walks.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Sean Murphy 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+160)
Ronald Acuna 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+150)
Ozzie Albies 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+205)
Matt Olson 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+160)
Jurickson Profar 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+210)

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • The Yankees have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and split those matchups 1-1.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents are 8-2-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Yankees have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 6.1
HR 21
ERA 5.22
K/9 7.9

Yankees Player Insights

  • Judge leads the Yankees with 35 home runs and 81 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .355.
  • Judge's home run total puts him second in the big leagues, and he is second in RBI.
  • Cody Bellinger has 18 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 29 walks while hitting .282.
  • Bellinger is currently 43rd in homers and 36th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Paul Goldschmidt is batting .287 with 22 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 28 walks.
  • Anthony Volpe is batting .214 with 22 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 34 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Cody Bellinger 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+185)
Ben Rice 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+115) - -
Aaron Judge 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+130)
Paul Goldschmidt - - - -
Oswald Peraza - - - -

2025 MLB All-Star Game: Best MIC'D UP moments | MLB on FOX

Check out the best mic’d up moments from the 2025 MLB All-Star Game, featuring Tarik Skubal of the Detroit Tigers, Clayton Kershaw of the Los Angeles Dodgers, Matt Olson of the Atlanta Braves, Cal Raleigh of the Seattle Mariners, Pete Crow-Armstrong of the Chicago Cubs, Aaron Boone of the New York Yankees, and Dave Roberts of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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