
Braves vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 8
Elly De La Cruz and the Cincinnati Reds will look to knock off Alex Verdugo and the Atlanta Braves on Thursday at 7:15 p.m. ET at Truist Park. The Braves are listed as -205 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Reds (+170). Atlanta is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +109 odds). The total for the game has been set at 8 runs.
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Reds vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX
Braves vs. Reds Game Information & Odds
- When: Thursday, May 8, 2025 at 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
- How to watch on TV: MLB Network, FDSSO, and FDSOH
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -205 | +170 | 8 | -106 | -114 | -1.5 | +109 | -129 |
Braves vs. Reds Prediction
- Score Prediction: Braves 5, Reds 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Braves 53%, Reds 47%
Braves vs. Reds Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 14, or 53.8%, of the 26 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season Atlanta has won five of its seven games when favored by at least -205 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 67.2% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 19 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (47.4%) in those games.
- Cincinnati has played as an underdog of +170 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 37% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Braves Recent Betting Performance
- The Braves went 4-4 across the eight games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total two times.
- The Braves are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Braves Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.13 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Braves Player Insights
- Matt Olson has five doubles, six home runs and 27 walks while batting .227.
- Among all hitters in MLB, Olson's home run total places him 47th, and his RBI tally puts him 55th.
- Olson carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .167 with a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
- Ozzie Albies is batting .239 with four doubles, five home runs and 12 walks.
- Albies is 65th in homers and 111th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
- Marcell Ozuna has four doubles, five home runs and 31 walks while hitting .268.
- Austin Riley has hit eight home runs with 25 RBI while hitting .289. Those stats all pace his team.
- Riley is riding a six-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .286 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and seven RBIs.
Braves Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Albies | 0.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+155) |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+140) |
| Austin Riley | 0.5 (-260) | 1.5 (-110) | - | 0.5 (+130) |
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+165) | - | 0.5 (+255) |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 (-160) | 0.5 (-165) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
Reds Recent Betting Performance
- In four games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Reds had a record of 2-2.
- When it comes to hitting the over, the Reds and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Reds have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.
Reds Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.94 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Reds Player Insights
- De La Cruz paces the Reds with five home runs and runs batted in, driving in 25.
- Among all hitters in MLB, De La Cruz ranks 65th in homers and 16th in RBI.
- TJ Friedl is batting .273 with six doubles, a triple, three home runs and 14 walks.
- Friedl ranks 139th overall in homers and 111th in RBI this season.
- Gavin Lux has a team-best batting average of .302.
- Jose Trevino has six doubles, three home runs and five walks while hitting .288.
Reds Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+270) |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+155) |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 (-165) | 0.5 (-165) | - | 0.5 (+210) |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 (-180) | 0.5 (-185) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
Reds vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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