Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 31

Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 31

Updated May. 31, 2025 4:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Abraham Toro and the Boston Red Sox will try to take down Matt Olson and the Atlanta Braves when the teams square off on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET. The favored Braves have -187 moneyline odds against the underdog Red Sox, who are listed at +156. Atlanta (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The contest's total has been set at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Atlanta Braves!

Braves vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, May 31, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSO and NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -187 +156 8.5 -123 +102 -1.5 +113 -134

Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Red Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 53%, Red Sox 47%

Braves vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have won 22 out of the 42 games, or 52.4%, in which they've been favored.
  • Atlanta has a record of 9-4, a 69.2% win rate, when favored by -187 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.2% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • The Red Sox have been underdogs in 18 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (44.4%) in those contests.
  • Boston has played as an underdog of +156 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 39.1% chance of pulling out a win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves went 3-5 across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times.
  • The Braves' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 10
ERA 3.72
K/9 8.9

Braves Player Insights

  • Olson's 12 big flies in 2025 are the most on the Braves. He's also driven in 30 runs while hitting .238.
  • Olson's home runs rank him 17th in MLB, and he ranks 51st in RBI.
  • Olson has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .190 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
  • Marcell Ozuna is hitting .275 with six doubles, nine home runs and 48 walks.
  • Among all major league batters, Ozuna ranks 47th in home runs and 99th in RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies is hitting .237 with eight doubles, six home runs and 20 walks.
  • Austin Riley's 32 runs batted in and .276 batting average both pace his team.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Michael Harris II 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+180)
Matt Olson 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+135)
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+140)
Drake Baldwin 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+165)
Austin Riley 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+140)

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
  • The Red Sox have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 12
ERA 3.19
K/9 8.2

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Rafael Devers has a team-leading 52 runs batted in.
  • In all of MLB, Devers is 17th in homers and first in RBI.
  • Devers carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with six walks and four RBIs.
  • Jarren Duran has 13 doubles, six triples, four home runs and 16 walks while hitting .274.
  • Duran is 162nd among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 26th in RBI.
  • Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox with 13 long balls.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has nine doubles, two triples, three home runs and 10 walks while batting .238.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+155)
Rafael Devers 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+135)
Jarren Duran 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+180)
Trevor Story 0.5 (-155) 0.5 (-155) - 0.5 (+255)
Marcelo Mayer 0.5 (-160) 0.5 (-165) - 0.5 (+260)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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