Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 18

Alexander Bregman and the Boston Red Sox take the field on Sunday at Fenway Park against Spencer Schwellenbach, who gets the start for the Atlanta Braves. First pitch is at 1:35 p.m. ET. The Braves are listed as -123 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Red Sox (+103). Atlanta is a 1.5-run favorite (at +130 odds). The total for the contest is set at 9.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 18, 2025 at 1:35 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, NESN, and FDSSO

Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Braves 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 54%, Red Sox 46%

Braves vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Braves have been favored 34 times and won 19, or 55.9%, of those games.
• Atlanta has a record of 16-12 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -123 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• The Red Sox have won in five, or 41.7%, of the 12 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Boston has a mark of 4-3 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +103 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 49.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves went 5-3 over the eight games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total two times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Braves have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Marcell Ozuna is batting .260 with six doubles, seven home runs and 39 walks.
• Including all MLB hitters, Ozuna is 73rd in batting average, fourth in on-base percentage, and 59th in slugging.
• Matt Olson's nine home runs pace his team.
• Olson ranks 27th in home runs and 53rd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Olson has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with two home runs and three RBIs.
• Austin Riley paces the Braves in runs batted in (27) and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .280.
• Ozzie Albies is hitting .224 with four doubles, five home runs and 14 walks.
• Albies is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .368 with a walk and an RBI.

Braves Team Props

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• In four games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Red Sox had a record of 2-2.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Red Sox are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Bregman leads the lineup with a batting average of .309, and leads the Red Sox in home runs, with 11 and runs batted in with 34.
• In all of the majors, Bregman ranks 11th in home runs and ninth in RBI.
• Rafael Devers has collected 34 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Devers is 38th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and ninth in RBI.
• Wilyer Abreu has 11 home runs, best in the lineup.
• Jarren Duran has 10 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 11 walks while hitting .262.

Red Sox Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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