
Braves vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 24
Matt Olson and the Atlanta Braves will take the field at Truist Park against the San Diego Padres and Fernando Tatis Jr. on Saturday. The favored Braves have -114 moneyline odds against the underdog Padres, who are listed at -105. San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +155 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this matchup (with -120 odds to go over and +100 odds to go under).
Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Padres vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX
Braves vs. Padres Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, May 24, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
- How to watch on TV: FDSSO and SDPA
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -114 | -105 | 8.5 | -120 | +100 | -1.5 | -187 | +155 |
Braves vs. Padres Prediction
- Score Prediction: Braves 5, Padres 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Braves 52%, Padres 48%
Braves vs. Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 20 out of the 38 games, or 52.6%, in which they've been favored.
- Atlanta has entered 37 games this season favored by -114 or more and is 20-17 in those contests.
- The Braves have a 53.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Padres have been victorious in 11, or 52.4%, of the 21 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, San Diego has won 10 of 20 games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 51.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Braves Recent Betting Performance
- The Braves were the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-4 in those matchups.
- In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Braves combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total three times.
- The Braves have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Braves Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.58 |
| K/9 | 6.5 |
Braves Player Insights
- Marcell Ozuna paces the Braves with a .273 batting average.
- In all of Major League Baseball, Ozuna ranks 36th in homers and 79th in RBI.
- Matt Olson has put his power on display as he leads his team with 11 home runs.
- Including all MLB hitters, Olson is 18th in homers and 46th in RBI.
- Ozzie Albies is batting .226 with six doubles, five home runs and 16 walks.
- Albies has at least one base hit in nine games in a row. During his last 10 games he is hitting .282 with two doubles, three walks and two RBIs.
- Austin Riley's .273 batting average paces his team.
Braves Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 (-180) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+145) | - | 0.5 (+200) |
| Austin Riley | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+145) |
| Ronald Acuna | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
| Ozzie Albies | 0.5 (-170) | 0.5 (-175) | - | 0.5 (+200) |
Padres Recent Betting Performance
- The Padres have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and split those matchups 1-1.
- The Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Padres have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Padres Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.7 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.34 |
| K/9 | 9.8 |
Padres Player Insights
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has put up a team-best 12 home runs.
- Tatis' home run total places him 12th in the majors, and he is 52nd in RBI.
- Manny Machado's .309 batting average leads his team.
- Machado ranks 150th in homers and 103rd in RBI among all major league batters this year.
- Luis Arraez is hitting .299 with eight doubles, three triples, three home runs and nine walks.
- Gavin Sheets has collected a team-leading 29 runs batted in.
Padres Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+155) |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 (-190) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Manny Machado | 1.5 (+160) | 1.5 (-115) | - | 0.5 (+115) |
| Luis Arraez | 1.5 (+140) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Jackson Merrill | 1.5 (+160) | 1.5 (-120) | - | 0.5 (+130) |
Padres vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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