Braves vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12

The Houston Astros and Yordan Alvarez take the field in the first game of a three-game series against Ozzie Albies and the Atlanta Braves on Friday at Truist Park. The Astros have been listed as +115 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Braves (-135). Atlanta is a 1.5-run favorite (at +154 odds). The over/under for the game has been set at 9 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Astros' Hunter Brown on his six scoreless frames against Rangers 🏆 | King of Diamond

John Smoltz spoke with Houston Astros' Hunter Brown about his performance against the Texas Rangers!

Braves vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 12, 2025 at 7:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
• How to watch on TV: FDSSO and SCHN

Braves vs. Astros Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 4, Astros 3
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 52%, Astros 48%

Braves vs. Astros Betting Insights

• This season, the Braves have won 47 out of the 94 games, or 50%, in which they've been favored.
• Atlanta has a record of 32-33 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -135 on the moneyline.
• The Braves have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Astros have come away with 29 wins in the 52 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Houston has come away with a win 16 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 46.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves have a 1-2 record from the three games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Braves combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total three times.
• The Braves are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Matt Olson leads the Braves in home runs (23), runs batted in (81) and has put up a team-high batting average of .271.
• Including all MLB batters, Olson is 39th in batting average, 11th in on-base percentage, and 44th in slugging.
• Albies is batting .241 with 21 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 50 walks.
• Albies ranks 110th in home runs and 82nd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Michael Harris II has 22 doubles, six triples, 17 home runs and 14 walks while hitting .241.
• Marcell Ozuna is batting .228 with 17 doubles, 20 home runs and 87 walks.

Braves Team Props

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• In eight games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Astros had a record of 3-5.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Astros have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Jose Altuve leads the Astros with 24 home runs.
• Among all batters in the majors, Altuve's home run total is 42nd and his RBI tally is 70th.
• Jeremy Pena's .300 batting average leads his team.
• Pena ranks 126th in homers and 129th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Yainer Diaz has 22 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 20 walks while batting .255.
• Carlos Correa is batting .276 with 24 doubles, 13 home runs and 38 walks.

Astros Team Props

Astros' Hunter Brown on his six scoreless frames against Rangers 🏆 | King of Diamond

John Smoltz spoke with Houston Astros' Hunter Brown about his performance against the Texas Rangers!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Atlanta Braves

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