Blue Jays vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 1

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Vinnie Pasquantino and the Kansas City Royals on Friday at 7:07 p.m. ET in the first game of a three-game series. The Royals are +134 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favorite Blue Jays (-159). Toronto (-1.5) is favored on the run line. A 7.5-run total has been listed in the contest.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Blue Jays vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, August 1, 2025 at 7:07 p.m. ET
• Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
• How to watch on TV: SNET and FDSKC

Blue Jays vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 55%, Royals 45%

Blue Jays vs. Royals Betting Insights

• The Blue Jays have won 27, or 57.4%, of the 47 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Toronto has a record of 14-4, a 77.8% win rate, when favored by -159 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.4% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
• The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 65 games this year and have walked away with the win 30 times (46.2%) in those games.
• Kansas City has a win-loss record of 9-7 when favored by +134 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 42.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• Over the last 10 games, the Blue Jays were the moneyline favorite three times, but they lost every matchup.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
• The Blue Jays have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Guerrero has 24 doubles, 15 home runs and 66 walks while batting .295.
• In all of the majors, Guerrero is 68th in homers and 50th in RBI.
• Bo Bichette has totaled 67 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Bichette ranks 96th in homers in the majors, and 19th in RBI.
• Ernie Clement has 21 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 20 walks while hitting .277.
• Clement will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .238 with a double.
• Addison Barger is hitting .264 with 25 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 22 walks.

Blue Jays Team Props

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• In four games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Royals had a record of 2-2.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Royals and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Royals have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. is batting .288 with 36 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 33 walks.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Witt ranks 68th in home runs and 39th in RBI.
• Maikel Garcia has a club-high .301 batting average.
• Garcia is currently 140th in home runs and 89th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Pasquantino has been solid source of run production for the Royals with 18 long balls and 65 runs batted in.
• Salvador Perez has put up a team-best 18 home runs.

Royals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Toronto Blue Jays

Kansas City Royals