Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 28

The Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox will play on Saturday at Fenway Park, at 4:10 p.m. ET, with Bo Bichette and Ceddanne Rafaela among those expected to deliver at the plate. The Blue Jays are -124 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Red Sox (+104). Toronto is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 9 runs for the game.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, June 28, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: NESN and SNET

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Blue Jays 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 52%, Red Sox 48%

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Blue Jays have won 18 out of the 31 games, or 58.1%, in which they've been favored.
• This season Toronto has won 16 of its 24 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -124 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 55.4%.
• The Red Sox have won in 14, or 45.2%, of the 31 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Boston has a win-loss record of 12-10 when favored by +104 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• The Blue Jays were the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Blue Jays' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays with 11 home runs on the year. He's also hitting .284 with 40 RBI.
• Guerrero is 65th in home runs and 66th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Bichette's 11 home runs and 49 RBI both pace his team.
• Bichette is 65th in home runs in the majors, and 27th in RBI.
• George Springer paces the Blue Jays with 11 home runs.
• Springer has at least one base hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .342 with a home run, two walks and nine RBIs.
• Alejandro Kirk's .316 batting average leads his team.
• Kirk has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .375 with a double, four walks and five RBIs.

Blue Jays Team Props

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Red Sox and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Red Sox have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .254.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Duran ranks 205th in homers and 77th in RBI.
• Rafaela has 13 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 14 walks while hitting .250.
• Rafaela is 129th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 130th in RBI.
• Wilyer Abreu has 13 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Trevor Story has driven in a team-leading 41 runs batted in.

Red Sox Team Props

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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