Blue Jays vs. Mariners ALCS Game 6 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 19

The ALCS resumes Sunday at 8:03 p.m. ET when the Toronto Blue Jays host the Seattle Mariners live on FS1 from Rogers Centre. The Mariners would advance to the World Series with a win while the Blue Jays hope to force a winner-take-all Game 7. The Mariners are +102 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Blue Jays (-121). Toronto is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's over/under is set at 7.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mariners sieze MOMENTUM 🔱 A-rod, Papi & Derek Jeter react to Suarez & Raleigh's HEROIC performance

‘MLB on FOX’ crew discussed the Seattle Mariners 6-2 Game 5 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays.

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 8:03 p.m. ET
• Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
• How to watch on TV: FS1

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Prediction

• Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Mariners 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 54%, Mariners 46%

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Betting Insights

• This season, the Blue Jays have been favored 90 times and won 52, or 57.8%, of those games.
• Toronto has a record of 47-29, a 61.8% win rate, when favored by -121 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 54.8%.
• The Mariners have been underdogs in 53 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (52.8%) in those contests.
• This season, Seattle has come away with a win 19 times in 34 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• The Blue Jays went 2-3 across the five games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to hit the over eight times.
• The Blue Jays' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is hitting .292 with 34 doubles, 23 home runs and 81 walks.
• Guerrero is 62nd in homers and 43rd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Guerrero carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .389 with three doubles, two home runs, four walks and two RBIs.
• George Springer has put his power on display as he paces his team with 32 home runs.
• Springer ranks 17th in homers and 43rd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Springer carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .302 with five doubles, four home runs, four walks and eight RBIs.
• Ernie Clement has 35 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 27 walks while batting .277.
• Clement will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a double and two RBIs.
• Alejandro Kirk has 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 48 walks while hitting .282.

Blue Jays Team Props

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• The Mariners have played as underdogs five times over their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
• The Mariners and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Mariners have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners in home runs (60) and runs batted in (125).
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Raleigh's home run total is first and his RBI tally is third.
• Julio Rodriguez is batting .267 with 31 doubles, four triples, 32 home runs and 44 walks.
• Rodriguez ranks 17th in home runs and 20th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Josh Naylor paces the Mariners' lineup with a .295 batting average.
• Eugenio Suarez has 28 doubles, 49 home runs and 46 walks while hitting .228.

Mariners Team Props

Mariners sieze MOMENTUM 🔱 A-rod, Papi & Derek Jeter react to Suarez & Raleigh's HEROIC performance

‘MLB on FOX’ crew discussed the Seattle Mariners 6-2 Game 5 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Toronto Blue Jays

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