Astros vs. Rangers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 11

Marcus Semien and the Texas Rangers match up with Jose Altuve and the Houston Astros on Friday at 8:10 p.m. ET at Daikin Park. Oddsmakers list the Astros as -125 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Rangers +105 moneyline odds to win. Houston is a 1.5-run favorite (at +163 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for the contest.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Rangers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Guardians vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Cleveland Guardians and Houston Astros.

Astros vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 11, 2025 at 8:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Daikin Park in Houston, Texas
• How to watch on TV: SCHN and CW33

Astros vs. Rangers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Astros 5, Rangers 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 54%, Rangers 46%

Astros vs. Rangers Betting Insights

• The Astros have been favorites in 65 games this season and won 38 (58.5%) of those contests.
• Houston is 28-18 this season when entering a game favored by -125 or more on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 55.6% chance to win.
• The Rangers have been victorious in 16, or 34%, of the 47 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Texas has a win-loss record of 7-23 when favored by +105 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros were the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and went 3-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
• The Astros' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Isaac Paredes has hit a team-high 19 homers.
• In all of the majors, Paredes ranks 17th in home runs and 53rd in RBI.
• Altuve has been productive as he paces his team with 51 runs batted in.
• Altuve is 36th in homers and 46th in RBI on the year.
• Altuve heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, a walk and seven RBIs.
• Yainer Diaz is hitting .243 with 11 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 14 walks.
• Cam Smith is hitting .286 with 16 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 23 walks.
• Smith brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .217 with a double.

Astros Team Props

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

• The Rangers have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rangers and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Rangers have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Rangers Recent Stats

Rangers Player Insights

• Semien is batting .239 with 11 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 40 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .318.
• Semien ranks 117th in home runs and 55th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Josh Smith's .287 batting average leads his team.
• Josh Smith ranks 147th overall in homers and 209th in RBI this year.
• Corey Seager has 10 doubles, 13 home runs and 35 walks while batting .265.
• Wyatt Langford has put up a team-high 14 home runs.

Rangers Team Props

Guardians vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Cleveland Guardians and Houston Astros.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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