Western Michigan vs. Ball State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 11, 2025

Updated Oct. 11, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Ball State Cardinals (2-3) are 9.5-point underdogs in a home MAC matchup with the Western Michigan Broncos (3-3) on Saturday, October 11, 2025 at Waldo Stadium. The contest's point total is 43.5.

The Broncos beat the UMass Minutemen, 21-3, in their last game. The Cardinals' most recent game was versus the Ohio Bobcats, and they won by a score of 20-14.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Western Michigan vs. Ball State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Waldo Stadium in Kalamazoo, Michigan
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Western Michigan vs Ball State Betting Information updated as of October 11, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Western Michigan	-9.5 (-110)	-344	+268	43.5	-113	-109

Western Michigan vs. Ball State Prediction

Pick ATS: Western Michigan (-9.5)
Pick OU: Under (43.5)
Prediction: Western Michigan 24, Ball State 14

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Western Michigan Broncos vs. the Ball State Cardinals game on FOX Sports!

Western Michigan vs. Ball State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Broncos 26, Cardinals 17.
The Broncos have a 77.5% chance to claim victory in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Cardinals have a 27.2% implied probability.
Western Michigan has covered five times in six games with a spread this season.
Ball State has put together a 4-1-0 record against the spread this year.

Western Michigan vs. Ball State: Head-to-Head

In their past four head-to-head matchups, Western Michigan has beaten Ball State three times.
In their last four meetings, each team has covered two times with those games eclipsing the total each time.
Ball State has been outpaced by 3 points in its last four tilts against Western Michigan.

Western Michigan vs. Ball State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Western Michigan	Ball State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	19.7 (103)	16.4 (130)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	20.7 (61)	29.4 (87)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	8 (93)	4 (18)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	9 (22)	1 (134)

Western Michigan 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Broc Lowry	QB	751 YDS (60.5%) / 3 TD / 1 INT 319 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 53.2 RUSH YPG
Jalen Buckley	RB	227 YDS / 0 TD / 45.4 YPG / 3.3 YPC 8 REC / 57 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 14.3 REC YPG
Devin Miles	RB	162 YDS / 2 TD / 27 YPG / 3.9 YPC
Ofa Mataele	RB	133 YDS / 2 TD / 33.3 YPG / 5.3 YPC
Nadame Tucker	DL	17 TKL / 5 TFL / 5 SACK
Rodney McGraw	DL	14 TKL / 3 TFL / 4 SACK
Tate Hallock	DB	31 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Sefa Saipaia Jr.	LB	29 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK

Ball State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Kiael Kelly	QB	657 YDS (60.6%) / 4 TD / 2 INT 266 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 53.2 RUSH YPG
Qua Ashley	RB	316 YDS / 3 TD / 63.2 YPG / 4.9 YPC 14 REC / 75 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 15 REC YPG
Qian Magwood	WR	8 REC / 174 YDS / 1 TD / 34.8 YPG
Eric Weatherly	WR	11 REC / 114 YDS / 0 TD / 22.8 YPG
Nate Voorhis	DL	16 TKL / 6 TFL / 6 SACK
DeJuan Echoles Jr.	LB	12 TKL / 1 TFL / 3 SACK
Joey Stemler	LB	15 TKL / 0 TFL
Ashton Whitner	DB	16 TKL / 2 TFL