
Western Kentucky vs. Missouri State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27, 2025
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-1) are favored by 3.5 points when they visit the Missouri State Bears (2-2) in CUSA action on Saturday, September 27, 2025 at Robert W. Plaster Stadium. The total for this matchup has been set at 60.5 points.
The Hilltoppers' most recent game was against the Nevada Wolf Pack, and they won by a score of 31-16. Facing the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks in their last game, the Bears won 42-10.
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Western Kentucky vs. Missouri State Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Robert W. Plaster Stadium in Springfield, Missouri
- TV: ESPN+
- Live Box Score on FOX Sports
| Favorite | Spread (Odds) | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Moneyline | Under Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky | -3.5 (-110) | -178 | +148 | 60.5 | -110 | -113 |
Western Kentucky vs. Missouri State Prediction
- Pick ATS: Missouri State (+3.5)
- Pick OU: Under (60.5)
- Prediction: Missouri State 33, Western Kentucky 24
Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.
Learn more about the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. the Missouri State Bears game on FOX Sports!
Western Kentucky vs. Missouri State Betting Insights
- Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Hilltoppers 32, Bears 28.
- The Hilltoppers have a 64.0% chance to collect the win in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bears have a 40.3% implied probability.
- Western Kentucky has won three games against the spread this season, while failing to cover once.
- Missouri State has compiled a 3-1-0 ATS record so far this year.
Western Kentucky vs. Missouri State: 2025 Stats Comparison
| Western Kentucky | Missouri State | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 37 (24) | 21.5 (102) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 22.8 (70) | 32.8 (124) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 6 (96) | 8 (123) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 6 (27) | 7 (14) |
Western Kentucky 2025 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Maverick McIvor | QB | 1,157 YDS (66.7%) / 10 TD / 2 INT -15 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -3.8 RUSH YPG |
| Matthew Henry | WR | 12 REC / 205 YDS / 3 TD / 51.3 YPG |
| KD Hutchinson | WR | 14 REC / 202 YDS / 3 TD / 50.5 YPG |
| La'Vell Wright | RB | 86 YDS / 3 TD / 21.5 YPG / 4.8 YPC |
| Jaylen Lewis | DB | 7 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD |
| Al-Ma'hi Ali | DB | 8 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD |
| Anthony Brackenridge | LB | 8 TKL / 2 TFL |
| Dave Herard | DB | 10 TKL / 0 TFL |
Missouri State 2025 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Clark | QB | 1,052 YDS (66.7%) / 8 TD / 6 INT 7 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 1.8 RUSH YPG |
| Dash Luke | WR | 19 REC / 239 YDS / 2 TD / 59.8 YPG |
| Shomari Lawrence | RB | 208 YDS / 1 TD / 52 YPG / 4.2 YPC 8 REC / 44 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14.7 REC YPG |
| Ramone Green Jr. | RB | 45 YDS / 0 TD / 11.3 YPG / 3.8 YPC 11 REC / 176 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 44 REC YPG |
| Mitchell Toney | DL | 11 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK |
| Kanye Young | LB | 9 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD |
| Jalen Brooks | LB | 9 TKL / 1 TFL |
| Christian Ford | DB | 8 TKL / 0 TFL |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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