Vanderbilt vs. Utah State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27, 2025

Updated Sep. 27, 2025 9:05 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 18 Vanderbilt Commodores (4-0) are a massive 23.5-point favorite heading into their matchup on Saturday, September 27, 2025 against the Utah State Aggies (3-1). The contest's point total is 58.5.

The Commodores' last game was versus the Georgia State Panthers, and they won by a score of 70-21. Against the McNeese Cowboys in their last contest, the Aggies won 48-7.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Vanderbilt vs. Utah State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 12:45 p.m. ET
Location: FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee
TV: SEC Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Vanderbilt vs Utah State Betting Information updated as of September 27, 2025, 8:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Vanderbilt	-23.5 (-109)	-2273	+1050	58.5	-106	-114

Vanderbilt vs. Utah State Prediction

Pick ATS: Vanderbilt (-23.5)
Pick OU: Over (58.5)
Prediction: Vanderbilt 52, Utah State 11

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Vanderbilt Commodores vs. the Utah State Aggies game on FOX Sports!

Vanderbilt vs. Utah State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Commodores 41, Aggies 18.
The Commodores have a 95.8% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Aggies hold an 8.7% implied probability.
Vanderbilt is 4-0-0 ATS this season.
Utah State has won all four of its games against the spread this season.

Vanderbilt vs. Utah State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Vanderbilt	Utah State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	47.5 (8)	36.8 (25)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	12.8 (20)	24.3 (81)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	3 (30)	3 (30)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	8 (9)	5 (50)

Vanderbilt 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Diego Pavia	QB	890 YDS (73.9%) / 8 TD / 2 INT 215 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 53.8 RUSH YPG
Sedrick Alexander	RB	210 YDS / 4 TD / 52.5 YPG / 5.5 YPC 4 REC / 62 REC YDS / 3 REC TD / 15.5 REC YPG
Makhilyn Young	RB	187 YDS / 3 TD / 46.8 YPG / 11.7 YPC 3 REC / 31 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 15.5 REC YPG
Junior Sherrill	WR	11 REC / 134 YDS / 2 TD / 33.5 YPG
CJ Heard	DB	17 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Miles Capers	DL	8 TKL / 2 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Nicholas Rinaldi	LB	13 TKL / 4 TFL / 2 SACK
Bryce Cowan	LB	10 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 SACK

Utah State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Bryson Barnes	QB	982 YDS (65.4%) / 8 TD / 1 INT 197 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 49.3 RUSH YPG
Miles Davis	RB	310 YDS / 2 TD / 77.5 YPG / 7 YPC 14 REC / 109 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 36.3 REC YPG
Braden Pegan	WR	17 REC / 303 YDS / 3 TD / 75.8 YPG
Brady Boyd	WR	17 REC / 274 YDS / 2 TD / 68.5 YPG
John Miller	LB	32 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK
Bronson Olevao	LB	28 TKL / 3 TFL / 3 SACK
William Holmes	LB	25 TKL / 4 TFL / 2 SACK
Noah Avinger	DB	28 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD