UNLV vs. Air Force Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 11, 2025

Updated Oct. 11, 2025 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The UNLV Rebels (5-0) are touchdown favorites when they host the Air Force Falcons (1-4) in an MWC matchup on Saturday, October 11, 2025 at Allegiant Stadium. The game's over/under is set at 65.5.

In their last action, the Rebels won versus the Wyoming Cowboys, 31-17. In their last contest, the Falcons lost versus the Navy Midshipmen, 34-31.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

UNLV vs. Air Force Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada
TV: CBS Sports Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

UNLV vs Air Force Betting Information updated as of October 11, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
UNLV	-7 (-110)	-264	+214	65.5	-108	-112

UNLV vs. Air Force Prediction

Pick ATS: UNLV (-7)
Pick OU: Over (65.5)
Prediction: UNLV 43, Air Force 26

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the UNLV Rebels vs. the Air Force Falcons game on FOX Sports!

UNLV vs. Air Force Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Rebels 36, Falcons 29.
The Rebels have a 72.5% chance to claim victory in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Falcons hold a 31.8% implied probability.
UNLV has put together a 4-1-0 record against the spread this season.
Air Force has a record of 2-3-0 against the spread this season.

UNLV vs. Air Force: Head-to-Head

In their past three head-to-head meetings, Air Force has taken down UNLV two times.
The Falcons own a 2-1 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have gone over the point total on two occasions.
Over their last three head-to-head contests, Air Force has put up 117 points, while UNLV has tallied 52.

UNLV vs. Air Force: 2025 Stats Comparison

	UNLV	Air Force
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	35.6 (45)	36.4 (39)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	26 (71)	37.8 (127)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	5 (35)	6 (54)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	13 (3)	4 (106)

UNLV 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Anthony Colandrea	QB	1,042 YDS (69.5%) / 9 TD / 3 INT 261 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 52.2 RUSH YPG
Jai'Den Thomas	RB	489 YDS / 5 TD / 97.8 YPG / 8 YPC 10 REC / 40 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 8 REC YPG
Jaden Bradley	WR	25 REC / 420 YDS / 2 TD / 84 YPG
Keyvone Lee	RB	130 YDS / 3 TD / 26 YPG / 4.5 YPC 5 REC / 38 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 12.7 REC YPG
Aamaris Brown	DB	12 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK / 4 INT
Marsel McDuffie	LB	23 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT
Jaheem Joseph	DB	19 TKL / 3 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Jake Pope	DB	19 TKL / 1 TFL

Air Force 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Liam Szarka	QB	852 YDS (64.6%) / 7 TD / 3 INT 449 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 89.8 RUSH YPG
Cade Harris	WR	19 REC / 448 YDS / 2 TD / 89.6 YPG
Quin Smith	WR	10 REC / 275 YDS / 3 TD / 55 YPG
Bruin Fleischmann	TE	12 REC / 209 YDS / 3 TD / 41.8 YPG
Blake Fletcher	LB	50 TKL / 0 TFL
Roger Jones Jr.	DB	32 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Isaac Hubert	LB	9 TKL / 7 TFL / 3 SACK
Mikhail Seiken	DB	15 TKL / 0 TFL