Troy vs. Arkansas State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 1, 2025

Updated Nov. 1, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-4) are 8.5-point underdogs in a home Sun Belt matchup with the Troy Trojans (6-2) on Saturday, November 1, 2025 at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL). The total is 52.5 points for this matchup.

In their last action, the Trojans won versus the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns, 35-23. The Red Wolves beat the Georgia Southern Eagles, 34-24, in their most recent game.

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Troy vs. Arkansas State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
Location: Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) in Troy, Alabama
TV: ESPNU
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Troy vs Arkansas State Betting Information updated as of November 1, 2025, 1:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Troy	-8.5 (-111)	-331	+264	52.5	-113	-109

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Troy vs. Arkansas State Prediction

Pick ATS: Arkansas State (+8.5)
Pick OU: Under (52.5)
Prediction: Troy 29, Arkansas State 23

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Troy Trojans vs. the Arkansas State Red Wolves game on FOX Sports!

Troy vs. Arkansas State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Trojans 30, Red Wolves 22.
The Trojans have a 76.8% chance to claim victory in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Red Wolves hold a 27.5% implied probability.
Troy has put together a 6-2-0 record against the spread this season.
Arkansas State has won five games against the spread this season, failing to cover three times.

Troy vs. Arkansas State: Head-to-Head

In their past three head-to-head contests, Troy has defeated Arkansas State two times.
In those contests versus Arkansas State, the Trojans have covered three times while eclipsing the point total on two occasions.
In their last three head-to-head matchups, Troy has scored 116 points against Arkansas State, while allowing only 56 points.

Troy vs. Arkansas State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Troy	Arkansas State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	29.1 (59)	23.6 (94)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	24.3 (68)	28.5 (98)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	9 (56)	10 (68)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	11 (40)	9 (73)

Troy 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Tucker Kilcrease	QB	1,234 YDS (60.8%) / 9 TD / 3 INT 152 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 21.7 RUSH YPG
Tae Meadows	RB	498 YDS / 4 TD / 71.1 YPG / 5 YPC
Tray Taylor	WR	18 REC / 346 YDS / 3 TD / 43.3 YPG
DJ Epps	WR	23 REC / 279 YDS / 3 TD / 34.9 YPG
Jordan Stringer	LB	71 TKL / 6 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Devin Lafayette	DB	72 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Donnie Smith		27 TKL / 5 TFL / 6 SACK
Jaquez White	DB	38 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT

Arkansas State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jaylen Raynor	QB	1,876 YDS (66.3%) / 9 TD / 6 INT 326 RUSH YDS / 7 RUSH TD / 40.8 RUSH YPG
Kenyon Clay	RB	346 YDS / 2 TD / 43.3 YPG / 4.1 YPC 25 REC / 130 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 16.3 REC YPG
Chauncy Cobb	WR	52 REC / 555 YDS / 0 TD / 69.4 YPG
Corey Rucker	WR	40 REC / 469 YDS / 1 TD / 58.6 YPG
Brandon Greil	DB	48 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Eathan Hassler	DL	30 TKL / 4 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Aaron Alexander	LB	49 TKL / 1 TFL
Demarcus Hendricks	DL	29 TKL / 5 TFL / 3 SACK