Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28, 2024

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 3:09 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Oddsmakers give the Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-1) the edge when they host the Cincinnati Bearcats (3-1) on Saturday, September 28, 2024 in a matchup between Big 12 foes at Jones AT&T Stadium. Texas Tech is favored by 3.5 points. The contest's point total is 59.5.

Facing the Arizona State Sun Devils in their last contest, the Red Raiders won 30-22. The Bearcats won against the Houston Cougars in their last game, 34-0.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Behren Morton hits Josh Kelly on a 21-yard TD, giving Texas Tech a 14-0 lead vs. ASU

The Texas Tech Red Raiders took a 14-0 lead over the Arizona State Sun Devils after Behren Morton connected with Josh Kelly on a 21-yard touchdown pass.

Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 8:00 p.m. ET
Location: Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Texas
TV: ESPN2
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Texas Tech vs Cincinnati Betting Information updated as of September 28, 2024, 2:48 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Texas Tech	-3.5 (-106)	-164	+137	59.5	-110	-110

Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati Prediction

Pick ATS: Texas Tech (-3.5)
Pick OU: Under (59.5)
Prediction: Texas Tech 29, Cincinnati 25

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. the Cincinnati Bearcats game on FOX Sports!

Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Red Raiders 32, Bearcats 28.
The Red Raiders have a 62.1% chance to collect the win in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bearcats have a 42.2% implied probability.
Texas Tech has covered twice in four matchups with a spread this season.
Cincinnati has a record of 2-2-0 against the spread this season.

Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Texas Tech	Cincinnati
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	41 (11)	31.5 (52)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	32.8 (117)	16 (36)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	5 (70)	5 (70)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	6 (41)	7 (23)

Texas Tech 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Behren Morton	QB	1,175 YDS (63.2%) / 12 TD / 2 INT -14 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -3.5 RUSH YPG
Josh Kelly	WR	31 REC / 376 YDS / 3 TD / 94 YPG
Tahj Brooks	RB	379 YDS / 2 TD / 94.8 YPG / 5.3 YPC
Coy Eakin	WR	14 REC / 229 YDS / 3 TD / 57.3 YPG
Ben Roberts	LB	26 TKL / 1 TFL
Jacob Rodriguez	LB	28 TKL / 2 TFL
Chapman Lewis	DB	15 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
E'maurion Banks	DL	14 TKL / 3 TFL

Cincinnati 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Brendan Sorsby	QB	1,055 YDS (65.3%) / 8 TD / 0 INT 14 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 3.5 RUSH YPG
Corey Kiner	RB	404 YDS / 2 TD / 101 YPG / 6.3 YPC
Xzavier Henderson	WR	24 REC / 323 YDS / 3 TD / 80.8 YPG
Evan Pryor	RB	193 YDS / 2 TD / 48.3 YPG / 12.9 YPC
Jared Bartlett	LB	12 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK
Eric Phillips	DL	5 TKL / 3 TFL / 3 SACK
Josh Minkins	DB	10 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Kameron Wilson	DL	7 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK