Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 4, 2025

Updated Oct. 4, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-1) are 16.5-point underdogs in a road SEC matchup against the No. 6 Texas A&M Aggies (4-0) on Saturday, October 4, 2025 at Kyle Field. The over/under is set at 56.5.

Last time around, the Aggies defeated the Auburn Tigers, with 16-10 being the final score. The Bulldogs lost versus the Tennessee Volunteers in their last game, 41-34.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: Kyle Field in College Station, Texas
TV: SEC Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Texas A&M vs Mississippi State Betting Information updated as of October 4, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Texas A&M	-16.5 (-117)	-862	+583	56.5	-113	-110

Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State Prediction

Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+16.5)
Pick OU: Over (56.5)
Prediction: Texas A&M 34, Mississippi State 23

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Texas A&M Aggies vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Aggies 36, Bulldogs 20.
The Aggies have an 89.6% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bulldogs hold a 14.6% implied probability.
Texas A&M has covered once in four matchups with a spread this season.
Mississippi State has put together a 5-0-0 ATS record so far this season.

Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State: Head-to-Head

Texas A&M and Mississippi State have been evenly matched over their last four matchups, sharing the same 2-2 record.
The Bulldogs own a 3-1 record ATS in those games, while the two teams went over the point total each time.
Mississippi State has been outscored by 29 points in its last four tilts against Texas A&M.

Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Texas A&M	Mississippi State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	35.8 (59)	38.6 (16)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	24 (53)	17.6 (44)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	3 (18)	4 (25)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	2 (126)	10 (5)

Texas A&M 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Marcel Reed	QB	1,076 YDS (60.3%) / 9 TD / 2 INT 119 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 29.8 RUSH YPG
Mario Craver	WR	24 REC / 477 YDS / 4 TD / 119.3 YPG
Le'Veon Moss	RB	307 YDS / 5 TD / 76.8 YPG / 5.7 YPC
Kevin Concepcion	WR	20 REC / 340 YDS / 3 TD / 85 YPG
Cashius Howell	DL	7 TKL / 4 TFL / 4 SACK
Taurean York	LB	19 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK
Scooby Williams	LB	9 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Albert Regis	DL	13 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK

Mississippi State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Da'Marion Bothwell	RB	405 YDS / 6 TD / 81 YPG / 5.8 YPC
Blake Shapen	QB	1,062 YDS (65.4%) / 8 TD / 3 INT 53 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 10.6 RUSH YPG
Brenen Thompson	WR	20 REC / 324 YDS / 3 TD / 64.8 YPG
Davon Booth	RB	206 YDS / 4 TD / 41.2 YPG / 4 YPC
Zakari Tillman	LB	24 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Isaac Smith	DB	26 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Jahron Manning	DB	27 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Brylan Lanier	DB	20 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD