Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 8, 2025

Updated Nov. 8, 2025 9:04 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-2) visit the Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-4) on Saturday, November 8, 2025 in a matchup between Sun Belt opponents at Centennial Bank Stadium. Arkansas State is a 4.5-point underdog. The over/under is 55.5 for the game.

The Golden Eagles' most recent game was versus the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, and they won by a score of 49-21. Facing the Troy Trojans in their most recent game, the Red Wolves won 23-10.

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Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, Arkansas
TV: ESPNU
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Southern Miss vs Arkansas State Betting Information updated as of November 8, 2025, 4:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Southern Miss	-4.5 (-110)	-194	+161	55.5	-106	-114

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Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State Prediction

Pick ATS: Arkansas State (+4.5)
Pick OU: Under (55.5)
Prediction: Southern Miss 28, Arkansas State 25

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. the Arkansas State Red Wolves game on FOX Sports!

Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Golden Eagles 30, Red Wolves 26.
The Golden Eagles have a 66.0% chance to collect the win in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Red Wolves hold a 38.3% implied probability.
Southern Miss has compiled a 5-2-1 ATS record so far this year.
Arkansas State has won six games against the spread this season, failing to cover three times.

Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State: Head-to-Head

Over their last three meetings, Arkansas State has collected two wins against Southern Miss.
The Red Wolves carry a 3-0 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have gone over the total on two occasions.
Over their last three head-to-head contests, Arkansas State has racked up 107 points, while Southern Miss has tallied 85.

Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Southern Miss	Arkansas State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	33 (54)	23.6 (94)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	24.6 (52)	26.4 (93)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	7 (14)	12 (81)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	19 (4)	11 (56)

Southern Miss 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Braylon Braxton	QB	1,958 YDS (67.1%) / 18 TD / 4 INT 215 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 26.9 RUSH YPG
Jeffery Pittman	RB	419 YDS / 6 TD / 69.8 YPG / 4.4 YPC 13 REC / 67 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 13.4 REC YPG
Carl Chester	WR	19 REC / 316 YDS / 4 TD / 39.5 YPG
Matt Jones	RB	229 YDS / 4 TD / 28.6 YPG / 3.8 YPC
Chris Jones	LB	50 TKL / 3 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 1 INT
Michael Montgomery	LB	49 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 2 INT
J'Mond Tapp	DL	35 TKL / 6 TFL / 4 SACK
Ian Foster	DB	26 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT

Arkansas State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jaylen Raynor	QB	2,123 YDS (66.9%) / 11 TD / 6 INT 331 RUSH YDS / 7 RUSH TD / 36.8 RUSH YPG
Kenyon Clay	RB	386 YDS / 2 TD / 42.9 YPG / 3.8 YPC 28 REC / 145 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 16.1 REC YPG
Chauncy Cobb	WR	56 REC / 608 YDS / 0 TD / 67.6 YPG
Hunter Summers	WR	31 REC / 370 YDS / 4 TD / 41.1 YPG
Eathan Hassler	DL	36 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK
Demarcus Hendricks	DL	36 TKL / 6 TFL / 5 SACK
Aaron Alexander	LB	56 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Brandon Greil	DB	48 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT