South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 5, 2024

Updated Oct. 5, 2024 3:05 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

Sun Belt rivals meet when the South Alabama Jaguars (2-3) visit the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-2) on Saturday, October 5, 2024 at Centennial Bank Stadium. South Alabama is favored by 3 points. The contest has an over/under of 62 points.

Facing the LSU Tigers in their most recent game, the Jaguars lost 42-10. Last time around, the Red Wolves fell to the Iowa State Cyclones, with 52-7 being the final score.

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South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 7:00 p.m. ET
Location: Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, Arkansas
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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South Alabama vs Arkansas State Betting Information updated as of October 5, 2024, 2:48 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
South Alabama	-3 (-105)	-144	+120	62	-110	-110

South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Prediction

Pick ATS: Arkansas State (+3)
Pick OU: Under (62)
Prediction: Arkansas State 29, South Alabama 28

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the South Alabama Jaguars vs. the Arkansas State Red Wolves game on FOX Sports!

South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Jaguars 32, Red Wolves 30.
The Jaguars have a 59.0% chance to collect the win in this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Red Wolves hold a 45.5% implied probability.
South Alabama has a record of 2-3-0 against the spread this season.
Arkansas State has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this year.

South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Head-to-Head

In their past three head-to-head bouts, South Alabama has defeated Arkansas State three times.
The last three times the Jaguars have matched up against the Red Wolves, they have put up a 2-1 record against the spread. The scoring has yet to go over the total.
In their last three head-to-head matchups, South Alabama has scored 83 points against Arkansas State, while giving up only 30 points.

South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: 2024 Stats Comparison

	South Alabama	Arkansas State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	40.6 (12)	21.8 (112)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	29 (108)	33.8 (101)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	2 (5)	9 (111)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	9 (17)	7 (44)

South Alabama 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Gio Lopez	QB	1,014 YDS (64%) / 10 TD / 0 INT 204 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 40.8 RUSH YPG
Da'Marion Bothwell	RB	376 YDS / 6 TD / 75.2 YPG / 8 YPC
Jamaal Pritchett	WR	29 REC / 394 YDS / 4 TD / 78.8 YPG
Kentrel Bullock	RB	260 YDS / 3 TD / 52 YPG / 6.7 YPC 7 REC / 51 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 10.2 REC YPG
Jaden Voisin	DB	10 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Tyler Thomas	DL	7 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 SACK
Amarion Fortenberry	DB	5 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Jordan Norman	DL	7 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK

Arkansas State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jaylen Raynor	QB	780 YDS (53.9%) / 3 TD / 5 INT 143 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 35.8 RUSH YPG
Corey Rucker	WR	17 REC / 265 YDS / 2 TD / 66.3 YPG
Zak Wallace	RB	134 YDS / 2 TD / 33.5 YPG / 3.4 YPC
Courtney Jackson	WR	14 REC / 150 YDS / 0 TD / 37.5 YPG
Trevian Thomas	DB	21 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Dontay Joyner	DB	19 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Jayden Jones	DL	11 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK
Justin Parks	DB	18 TKL / 0 TFL