San Diego State vs. New Mexico Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 28, 2025

Updated Nov. 28, 2025 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The San Diego State Aztecs (9-2) are only 1.5-point favorites on the road at University Stadium (NM) against the New Mexico Lobos (8-3) on Friday, November 28, 2025. Both squads feature tough rush defenses, with the Aztecs 21st against the run in the nation, and the Lobos 22nd defending the running game. The point total is 41.5 for the game.

The Aztecs' most recent contest was versus the San Jose State Spartans, and they won by a score of 25-3. The Lobos' most recent contest was versus the Air Force Falcons, and they won by a score of 20-3.

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San Diego State vs. New Mexico Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, November 28, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: University Stadium (NM) in Albuquerque, New Mexico
TV: CBS Sports Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

San Diego State vs New Mexico Betting Information updated as of November 28, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
San Diego State	-1.5 (-105)	-110	-108	41.5	-111	-109

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San Diego State vs. New Mexico Prediction

Pick ATS: New Mexico (+1.5)
Pick OU: Over (41.5)
Prediction: New Mexico 23, San Diego State 21

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the San Diego State Aztecs vs. the New Mexico Lobos game on FOX Sports!

San Diego State vs. New Mexico Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Aztecs 22, Lobos 20.
The Aztecs have a 52.4% chance to claim victory in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Lobos hold a 51.9% implied probability.
San Diego State has covered nine times in 11 matchups with a spread this season.
New Mexico is 6-5-0 ATS this season.

San Diego State vs. New Mexico: Head-to-Head

San Diego State owns a 2-1 record against New Mexico in their last three matchups.
The last three times the Aztecs have played the Lobos, they have posted a 2-1 record against the spread. The scoring has gone over the point total on one occasion.
Over their last three head-to-head contests, San Diego State has scored 81 points, while New Mexico has accumulated 38.

San Diego State vs. New Mexico: 2025 Stats Comparison

	San Diego State	New Mexico
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	25.4 (84)	28.4 (63)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	11.6 (2)	23 (53)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	10 (14)	21 (125)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	15 (51)	14 (60)

San Diego State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Lucky Sutton	RB	1,122 YDS / 9 TD / 102 YPG / 5.2 YPC
Jayden Denegal	QB	1,648 YDS (58.6%) / 8 TD / 7 INT 95 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 8.6 RUSH YPG
Jordan Napier	WR	48 REC / 632 YDS / 2 TD / 63.2 YPG
Christian Washington	RB	406 YDS / 3 TD / 36.9 YPG / 5.3 YPC 3 REC / 18 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 6 REC YPG
Owen Chambliss	LB	74 TKL / 8 TFL / 4 SACK / 1 INT
Chris Johnson	DB	42 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 4 INT
Trey White	DL	34 TKL / 6 TFL / 6 SACK
Dalesean Staley	DB	45 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD

New Mexico 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jack Layne	QB	2,271 YDS (66.8%) / 12 TD / 9 INT 141 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 12.8 RUSH YPG
Damon Bankston	RB	522 YDS / 5 TD / 47.5 YPG / 5.6 YPC 25 REC / 366 REC YDS / 3 REC TD / 33.3 REC YPG
DJ McKinney	RB	408 YDS / 6 TD / 37.1 YPG / 3.9 YPC 13 REC / 155 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 15.5 REC YPG
Keagan Johnson	WR	54 REC / 693 YDS / 3 TD / 69.3 YPG
Jaxton Eck	LB	97 TKL / 2 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Keyshawn James-Newby	DL	39 TKL / 10 TFL / 7 SACK
Brett Karhu	DL	17 TKL / 7 TFL / 6 SACK
Mercury Swaim	LB	37 TKL / 5 TFL / 2 SACK