New Mexico State vs. Fresno State Prediction, Odds, Picks - December 16

Updated Dec. 16, 2023 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Fresno State Bulldogs square off against the New Mexico State Aggies in the New Mexico Bowl as 3.5-point underdogs on December 16, 2023 at 5:45 PM ET on ESPN. A 52-point over/under is set for the game.

The Aggies' last game was against the Liberty Flames, and they lost by a score of 49-35. The Bulldogs lost against the San Diego State Aztecs in their last game, 33-18.

New Mexico State vs. Fresno State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, December 16, 2023 at 5:45 PM ET
Location: University Stadium (NM) in Albuquerque, New Mexico
TV: ESPN
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

New Mexico State vs Fresno State Betting Information updated as of December 16, 2023, 2:45 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
New Mexico State	-3.5 (-110)	-165	+139	52	-110	-110

New Mexico State vs. Fresno State Prediction

Pick ATS: Fresno State (+3.5)
Pick OU: Under (52)
Prediction: New Mexico State 26, Fresno State 25

Learn more about the New Mexico State Aggies vs. the Fresno State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

New Mexico State vs. Fresno State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Aggies 28, Bulldogs 24.
The Aggies have a 62.3% chance to claim victory in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bulldogs hold a 41.8% implied probability.
New Mexico State is 8-3-1 ATS this season.
Fresno State has covered four times in 11 games with a spread this season.

New Mexico State vs. Fresno State: 2023 Stats Comparison

	New Mexico State	Fresno State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	28.7 (33)	29.9 (52)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	21.8 (58)	24.6 (53)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	14 (35)	12 (16)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	11 (121)	22 (17)

New Mexico State 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Diego Pavia	QB	2,915 YDS (61.6%) / 26 TD / 8 INT 862 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 61.6 RUSH YPG
Star Thomas	RB	643 YDS / 4 TD / 45.9 YPG / 5.8 YPC 21 REC / 194 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 13.9 REC YPG
Trent Hudson	WR	34 REC / 545 YDS / 10 TD / 38.9 YPG
Jonathan Brady	WR	37 REC / 613 YDS / 4 TD / 43.8 YPG
Keyshaun Elliott	LB	91 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Gabe Peterson	OLB	42 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 3.5 SACK
Jordan Vincent	S	61 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Myles Rowser	S	60 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD

Fresno State 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Malik Sherrod	RB	877 YDS / 9 TD / 73.1 YPG / 5.8 YPC 35 REC / 181 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 15.1 REC YPG
Mikey Keene	QB	2,586 YDS (66.1%) / 21 TD / 9 INT
Erik Brooks	WR	54 REC / 694 YDS / 5 TD / 57.8 YPG
Jalen Moss	WR	51 REC / 630 YDS / 5 TD / 52.5 YPG
Levelle Bailey	LB	65 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 3 INT
Morice Norris	S	47 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 2 INT
Dean Clark	DB	67 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Malachi Langley	LB	66 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK