Navy vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Odds, Picks - January 2, 2026

Published Dec. 30, 2025 9:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Navy Midshipmen are touchdown favorites as they head into a showdown with the Cincinnati Bearcats in the Liberty Bowl on January 2, 2026 at 4:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. This game has an over/under of 54.5 points.

Last time out, the Midshipmen defeated the Army Black Knights, with 17-16 being the final score. The Bearcats lost versus the TCU Horned Frogs in their most recent game, 45-23.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Navy vs. Cincinnati Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, January 2, 2026 at 4:30 p.m. ET
Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee
TV: ESPN
Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

Navy vs Cincinnati Betting Information updated as of December 30, 2025, 7:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Navy	-7 (-112)	-279	+225	54.5	-109	-111

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Navy vs. Cincinnati Prediction

Pick ATS: Cincinnati (+7)
Pick OU: Over (54.5)
Prediction: Cincinnati 29, Navy 28

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Navy Midshipmen vs. the Cincinnati Bearcats game on FOX Sports!

Navy vs. Cincinnati Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Midshipmen 31, Bearcats 24.
The Midshipmen have a 73.6% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bearcats have a 30.8% implied probability.
Navy has put together a 4-8-0 record against the spread this season.
Cincinnati is 6-6-0 ATS this season.

Navy vs. Cincinnati: Head-to-Head

Over their last two meetings, Cincinnati has tallied two wins against Navy.
In those games versus Cincinnati, the Midshipmen have covered two times while never eclipsing the point total.
Navy has been outpaced by 17 points in its last two tilts versus Cincinnati.

Navy vs. Cincinnati: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Navy	Cincinnati
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	31.2 (49)	31.8 (45)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	26 (66)	24.8 (59)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	13 (33)	12 (18)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	13 (95)	9 (122)

Navy 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Blake Horvath	QB	1,472 YDS (61.1%) / 10 TD / 6 INT 1,147 RUSH YDS / 15 RUSH TD / 104.3 RUSH YPG
Eli Heidenreich	RB	437 YDS / 3 TD / 39.7 YPG / 6.5 YPC 46 REC / 877 REC YDS / 5 REC TD / 73.1 REC YPG
Alex Tecza	RB	822 YDS / 9 TD / 68.5 YPG / 5.8 YPC 12 REC / 123 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 11.2 REC YPG
Braxton Woodson	QB	110 YDS (47.4%) / 0 TD / 0 INT 414 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 69 RUSH YPG
Landon Robinson	DL	37 TKL / 5 TFL / 6 SACK
Luke Pirris	LB	50 TKL / 4 TFL / 3.5 SACK
MarcAnthony Parker	LB	51 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT
Phillip Hamilton	DB	25 TKL / 0 TFL / 3 INT / 5 PD

Cincinnati 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Brendan Sorsby	QB	2,786 YDS (61.5%) / 26 TD / 5 INT 580 RUSH YDS / 9 RUSH TD / 48.3 RUSH YPG
Cyrus Allen	WR	48 REC / 651 YDS / 11 TD / 54.3 YPG
Tawee Walker	RB	709 YDS / 4 TD / 59.1 YPG / 5.9 YPC 18 REC / 78 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 7.8 REC YPG
Evan Pryor	RB	522 YDS / 3 TD / 52.2 YPG / 6.9 YPC 10 REC / 107 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 13.4 REC YPG
Jake Golday	LB	88 TKL / 3 TFL / 3.5 SACK
Jonathan Thompson	LB	55 TKL / 5 TFL / 1 SACK
Christian Harrison	DB	49 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Tre Gola-Callard	DB	64 TKL / 1 TFL