Navy vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Odds, Picks - January 2, 2026

Updated Jan. 2, 2026 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Navy Midshipmen are 7.5-point favorites as they hit the field against the Cincinnati Bearcats in the Liberty Bowl on January 2, 2026 at 4:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The over/under for the game is set at 58.

Last time around, the Midshipmen defeated the Army Black Knights, with 17-16 being the final score. In their most recent contest, the Bearcats lost against the TCU Horned Frogs, 45-23.

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Navy vs. Cincinnati Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, January 2, 2026 at 4:30 p.m. ET
Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee
TV: ESPN
Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

Navy vs Cincinnati Betting Information updated as of January 2, 2026, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Navy	-7.5 (-107)	-296	+239	58	-110	-110

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Navy vs. Cincinnati Prediction

Pick ATS: Cincinnati (+7.5)
Pick OU: Under (58)
Prediction: Cincinnati 29, Navy 28

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Navy Midshipmen vs. the Cincinnati Bearcats game on FOX Sports!

Navy vs. Cincinnati Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Midshipmen 33, Bearcats 25.
The Midshipmen have a 74.7% chance to win this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bearcats hold a 29.5% implied probability.
Navy has put together a 4-8-0 record against the spread this season.
Cincinnati has covered six times in 12 chances against the spread this season.

Navy vs. Cincinnati: Head-to-Head

In their past two head-to-head contests, Cincinnati has taken down Navy two times.
The Midshipmen have a 2-0 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have yet to go over the point total.
In their last two head-to-head matchups, Cincinnati has scored 47 points versus Navy, while surrendering only 30 points.

Navy vs. Cincinnati: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Navy	Cincinnati
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	31.2 (53)	31.8 (48)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	26 (63)	24.8 (55)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	13 (28)	12 (16)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	13 (96)	9 (122)

Navy 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Blake Horvath	QB	1,472 YDS (61.1%) / 10 TD / 6 INT 1,147 RUSH YDS / 15 RUSH TD / 104.3 RUSH YPG
Eli Heidenreich	RB	437 YDS / 3 TD / 39.7 YPG / 6.5 YPC 46 REC / 877 REC YDS / 5 REC TD / 73.1 REC YPG
Alex Tecza	RB	822 YDS / 9 TD / 68.5 YPG / 5.8 YPC 12 REC / 123 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 11.2 REC YPG
Braxton Woodson	QB	110 YDS (47.4%) / 0 TD / 0 INT 414 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 69 RUSH YPG
Landon Robinson	DL	37 TKL / 5 TFL / 6 SACK
Luke Pirris	LB	50 TKL / 4 TFL / 3.5 SACK
MarcAnthony Parker	LB	51 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT
Phillip Hamilton	DB	25 TKL / 0 TFL / 3 INT / 5 PD

Cincinnati 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Brendan Sorsby	QB	2,786 YDS (61.5%) / 26 TD / 5 INT 580 RUSH YDS / 9 RUSH TD / 48.3 RUSH YPG
Cyrus Allen	WR	48 REC / 651 YDS / 11 TD / 54.3 YPG
Tawee Walker	RB	709 YDS / 4 TD / 59.1 YPG / 5.9 YPC 18 REC / 78 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 7.8 REC YPG
Evan Pryor	RB	522 YDS / 3 TD / 52.2 YPG / 6.9 YPC 10 REC / 107 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 13.4 REC YPG
Jake Golday	LB	88 TKL / 3 TFL / 3.5 SACK
Jonathan Thompson	LB	55 TKL / 5 TFL / 1 SACK
Christian Harrison	DB	49 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Tre Gola-Callard	DB	64 TKL / 1 TFL