Navy vs. Air Force Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 4, 2025

Updated Oct. 4, 2025 9:05 a.m. ET

FOX Sports

The Air Force Falcons (1-3) and the seventh-ranked rushing attack will square off against the Navy Midshipmen (4-0) and the 22nd-ranked run defense on Saturday, October 4, 2025. The Midshipmen are favored by 13.5 points in the outing. The game's over/under is 51.5.

Last time around, the Midshipmen defeated the Rice Owls, with 21-13 being the final score. Against the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors in their last game, the Falcons lost 44-35.

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Navy vs. Air Force Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Maryland
TV: CBS
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Navy vs Air Force Betting Information updated as of October 4, 2025, 8:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Navy	-13.5 (-113)	-541	+404	51.5	-109	-111

Navy vs. Air Force Prediction

Pick ATS: Navy (-13.5)
Pick OU: Over (51.5)
Prediction: Navy 43, Air Force 25

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Navy Midshipmen vs. the Air Force Falcons game on FOX Sports!

Navy vs. Air Force Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Midshipmen 32, Falcons 19.
The Midshipmen have an 84.4% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Falcons have a 19.8% implied probability.
Navy has a record of 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
Air Force has a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this year.

Navy vs. Air Force: Head-to-Head

In their last four head-to-head matchups, Air Force has taken down Navy three times.
The last four times the Midshipmen have squared off with the Falcons, they have posted a 2-1-1 record against the spread. The scoring has gone over the point total on one occasion.
Over their last four head-to-head matchups, Air Force has put up 60 points, while Navy has accumulated 53.

Navy vs. Air Force: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Navy	Air Force
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	38.3 (41)	37.8 (45)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	16.8 (23)	38.8 (119)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	4 (25)	5 (53)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	5 (71)	3 (111)

Navy 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Blake Horvath	QB	500 YDS (68.4%) / 3 TD / 3 INT 355 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 88.8 RUSH YPG
Alex Tecza	RB	376 YDS / 4 TD / 94 YPG / 6.7 YPC 5 REC / 62 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 15.5 REC YPG
Eli Heidenreich	RB	232 YDS / 3 TD / 58 YPG / 7.7 YPC 12 REC / 170 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 42.5 REC YPG
Braxton Woodson	QB	26 YDS (42.9%) / 0 TD / 0 INT 194 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 64.7 RUSH YPG
Landon Robinson	DL	13 TKL / 3 TFL / 3 SACK
MarcAnthony Parker	LB	10 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 1 INT
Luke Pirris	LB	12 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Julien Moutome	DL	9 TKL / 0 TFL / 1.5 SACK

Air Force 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Liam Szarka	QB	640 YDS (67.4%) / 5 TD / 3 INT 297 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 74.3 RUSH YPG
Cade Harris	WR	16 REC / 441 YDS / 2 TD / 110.3 YPG
Quin Smith	WR	9 REC / 260 YDS / 3 TD / 65 YPG
Dylan Carson	RB	225 YDS / 2 TD / 56.3 YPG / 5.6 YPC
Blake Fletcher	LB	39 TKL / 0 TFL
Isaac Hubert	LB	8 TKL / 6 TFL / 3 SACK
Roger Jones Jr.	DB	19 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Max Mustell	DB	17 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD