Data Skrive
The Air Force Falcons (1-3) and the seventh-ranked rushing attack will square off against the Navy Midshipmen (4-0) and the 22nd-ranked run defense on Saturday, October 4, 2025. The Midshipmen are favored by 13.5 points in the outing. The game's over/under is 51.5.
Last time around, the Midshipmen defeated the Rice Owls, with 21-13 being the final score. Against the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors in their last game, the Falcons lost 44-35.
Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.
Navy vs. Air Force Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 12 p.m. ET
- Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Maryland
- TV: CBS
- Live Box Score on FOX Sports
| Favorite | Spread (Odds) | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Moneyline | Under Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | -13.5 (-113) | -541 | +404 | 51.5 | -109 | -111 |
Navy vs. Air Force Prediction
- Pick ATS: Navy (-13.5)
- Pick OU: Over (51.5)
- Prediction: Navy 43, Air Force 25
Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.
Learn more about the Navy Midshipmen vs. the Air Force Falcons game on FOX Sports!
Navy vs. Air Force Betting Insights
- Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Midshipmen 32, Falcons 19.
- The Midshipmen have an 84.4% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Falcons have a 19.8% implied probability.
- Navy has a record of 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
- Air Force has a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this year.
Navy vs. Air Force: Head-to-Head
- In their last four head-to-head matchups, Air Force has taken down Navy three times.
- The last four times the Midshipmen have squared off with the Falcons, they have posted a 2-1-1 record against the spread. The scoring has gone over the point total on one occasion.
- Over their last four head-to-head matchups, Air Force has put up 60 points, while Navy has accumulated 53.
Navy vs. Air Force: 2025 Stats Comparison
| Navy | Air Force | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 38.3 (41) | 37.8 (45) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 16.8 (23) | 38.8 (119) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 4 (25) | 5 (53) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 5 (71) | 3 (111) |
Navy 2025 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Horvath | QB | 500 YDS (68.4%) / 3 TD / 3 INT 355 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 88.8 RUSH YPG |
| Alex Tecza | RB | 376 YDS / 4 TD / 94 YPG / 6.7 YPC 5 REC / 62 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 15.5 REC YPG |
| Eli Heidenreich | RB | 232 YDS / 3 TD / 58 YPG / 7.7 YPC 12 REC / 170 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 42.5 REC YPG |
| Braxton Woodson | QB | 26 YDS (42.9%) / 0 TD / 0 INT 194 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 64.7 RUSH YPG |
| Landon Robinson | DL | 13 TKL / 3 TFL / 3 SACK |
| MarcAnthony Parker | LB | 10 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 1 INT |
| Luke Pirris | LB | 12 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK |
| Julien Moutome | DL | 9 TKL / 0 TFL / 1.5 SACK |
Air Force 2025 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Szarka | QB | 640 YDS (67.4%) / 5 TD / 3 INT 297 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 74.3 RUSH YPG |
| Cade Harris | WR | 16 REC / 441 YDS / 2 TD / 110.3 YPG |
| Quin Smith | WR | 9 REC / 260 YDS / 3 TD / 65 YPG |
| Dylan Carson | RB | 225 YDS / 2 TD / 56.3 YPG / 5.6 YPC |
| Blake Fletcher | LB | 39 TKL / 0 TFL |
| Isaac Hubert | LB | 8 TKL / 6 TFL / 3 SACK |
| Roger Jones Jr. | DB | 19 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD |
| Max Mustell | DB | 17 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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