Kentucky vs. Toledo Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 30, 2025

Updated Aug. 30, 2025 9:04 a.m. ET

FOX Sports

The Kentucky Wildcats (0-0) are double-digit, 10-point favorites heading into their matchup on Saturday, August 30, 2025 against the Toledo Rockets (0-0). An over/under of 48.5 is set in the contest.

A year ago the Wildcats failed to qualify for a bowl game after going 4-8 during the regular season. Offensively, they averaged 20.6 points per game (119th in college football), and they gave up 22.1 per game (32nd in college football) on defense. The Rockets won the GameAbove Sports Bowl last year after going 8-5 during the regular season. They scored 28.3 points per game (64th in college football) and allowed 23.2 (47th).

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Kentucky vs. Toledo Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 12:45 p.m. ET
Location: Kroger Field in Lexington, Kentucky
TV: SEC Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Kentucky vs Toledo Betting Information updated as of August 30, 2025, 8:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Kentucky	-10 (-110)	-379	+290	48.5	-108	-111

Kentucky vs. Toledo Prediction

Pick ATS: Toledo (+10)
Pick OU: Under (48.5)
Prediction: Kentucky 27, Toledo 19

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Kentucky Wildcats vs. the Toledo Rockets game on FOX Sports!

Kentucky vs. Toledo Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Wildcats 29, Rockets 19.
The Wildcats have a 79.1% chance to claim victory in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Rockets have a 25.6% implied probability.
Kentucky won seven games against the spread last season, failing to cover five times.
Toledo won six games against the spread last season, failing to cover seven times.

Kentucky vs. Toledo: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Kentucky	Toledo
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	20.6 (119)	28.3 (61)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	22.1 (21)	23.2 (46)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	23 (120)	19 (74)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	16 (77)	20 (43)

Kentucky 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Demie Sumo	RB	586 YDS / 5 TD / 48.8 YPG / 4.5 YPC 20 REC / 154 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 12.8 REC YPG
Brock Vandagriff	QB	1,593 YDS (57.3%) / 10 TD / 8 INT 131 RUSH YDS / 0 RUSH TD / 11.9 RUSH YPG
Dane Key	WR	47 REC / 715 YDS / 2 TD / 59.6 YPG
Barion Brown	WR	29 REC / 361 YDS / 3 TD / 32.8 YPG
Jamon Dumas-Johnson	LB	60 TKL / 4 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 1 INT
Zion Childress	DB	49 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK
Jordan Lovett	DB	52 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Alex Afari	DB	48 TKL / 8 TFL / 1.5 SACK

Toledo 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Tucker Gleason	QB	2,793 YDS (60.5%) / 24 TD / 8 INT 364 RUSH YDS / 7 RUSH TD / 30.3 RUSH YPG
Jerjuan Newton	WR	72 REC / 1,033 YDS / 11 TD / 79.5 YPG
Junior Vandeross III	WR	85 REC / 957 YDS / 5 TD / 73.6 YPG
Anthony Torres	TE	31 REC / 404 YDS / 9 TD / 31.1 YPG
Maxen Hook	DB	97 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Daniel Bolden	LB	87 TKL / 8 TFL / 3 SACK
Jackson Barrow	LB	67 TKL / 9 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Braden Awls	DB	66 TKL / 2 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 4 INT