Boise State vs. Appalachian State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27, 2025

Updated Sep. 27, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-1) are facing tough odds as 16.5-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Saturday, September 27, 2025 against the Boise State Broncos (2-1). The over/under is set at 59.5 points for the game.

The Broncos won versus the Air Force Falcons in their last game, 49-37. Facing the Southern Miss Golden Eagles in their last contest, the Mountaineers lost 38-22.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Boise State vs. Appalachian State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho
TV: Fox Sports 1
Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Boise State vs Appalachian State Betting Information updated as of September 27, 2025, 12:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Boise State	-16.5 (-111)	-781	+538	59.5	-111	-108

Boise State vs. Appalachian State Prediction

Pick ATS: Appalachian State (+16.5)
Pick OU: Under (59.5)
Prediction: Boise State 32, Appalachian State 26

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Boise State Broncos vs. the Appalachian State Mountaineers game on FOX Sports!

Boise State vs. Appalachian State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Broncos 38, Mountaineers 22.
The Broncos have an 88.6% chance to collect the win in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Mountaineers have a 15.7% implied probability.
Boise State has covered twice in three matchups with a spread this season.
Appalachian State has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this year.

Boise State vs. Appalachian State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Boise State	Appalachian State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	35.7 (77)	25.3 (114)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	28.3 (63)	20.7 (35)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	4 (50)	8 (123)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	3 (96)	5 (50)

Boise State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Dylan Riley	RB	314 YDS / 5 TD / 104.7 YPG / 9.8 YPC 3 REC / 89 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 44.5 REC YPG
Maddux Madsen	QB	808 YDS (57.4%) / 5 TD / 1 INT 66 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 22 RUSH YPG
Malik Sherrod	RB	149 YDS / 2 TD / 49.7 YPG / 6 YPC 5 REC / 42 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14 REC YPG
Ben Ford	WR	8 REC / 148 YDS / 2 TD / 49.3 YPG
Ty Benefield	DB	24 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Jeremiah Earby	DB	19 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Marco Notarainni	LB	22 TKL / 0 TFL
Zion Washington	DB	19 TKL / 0 TFL

Appalachian State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
AJ Swann	QB	879 YDS (63.1%) / 5 TD / 4 INT 46 RUSH YDS / 0 RUSH TD / 15.3 RUSH YPG
Rashod Dubinion	RB	400 YDS / 2 TD / 133.3 YPG / 5.6 YPC 6 REC / 34 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 11.3 REC YPG
Jaden Barnes	WR	24 REC / 337 YDS / 3 TD / 112.3 YPG
Dalton Stroman	WR	15 REC / 294 YDS / 1 TD / 98 YPG
Thomas Davis	DL	10 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK
DJ Burks	DB	3 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Ja'Den McBurrows	DB	9 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne	DL	7 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK