North Carolina vs. Alabama Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

Updated Mar. 28, 2024 8:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 4-seed Alabama Crimson Tide (23-11) are ready for a Sweet 16 matchup against the No. 1 North Carolina Tar Heels (29-7) on Thursday at 9:39 PM ET as the NCAA Tournament continues at Crypto.com Arena airing on CBS.

The Tar Heels enter their matchup against the Crimson Tide as a 4.5-point favorite. The matchup features a point total of 174.

Keep scrolling to get the download ahead of placing bets on the North Carolina-Alabama game.

North Carolina vs. Alabama Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 9:39 PM ET
Where: Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California
How to Watch on TV: CBS
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Tar Heels vs Crimson Tide Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Tar Heels	-4.5	-108	-112	174	-112	-108	-205	+170

North Carolina vs. Alabama Prediction

Pick ATS: Alabama (+4.5)
Pick OU: Under (174)
Prediction: North Carolina 82, Alabama 80

Learn more about the North Carolina Tar Heels vs. the Alabama Crimson Tide game on FOX Sports!

North Carolina vs. Alabama Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Tar Heels 89, Crimson Tide 85.
The Tar Heels have a 67.2% chance to claim victory in this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
The Crimson Tide sit with a 37.0% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

North Carolina has put together a 20-14-0 ATS record so far this year.
Alabama is 19-13-0 ATS this season.
North Carolina has been favored by 4.5 points or more 23 times this season, and covered the spread in 12 of those games.
Alabama has covered the spread once when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this season (in four opportunities).

Key Total Facts

Three times so far this year, the Tar Heels and their opponent have combined for more than 174 points.
Crimson Tide games have had over 174 points 14 times this season.
The two teams combine to average 1.5 points per game fewer than the total for this matchup (174).

Key Moneyline Facts

North Carolina has won 83.3% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (25-5).
Alabama has entered the game as underdogs seven times this season and won once.
When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -205 or shorter, North Carolina has gone 18-4 (81.8% win percentage).
Alabama has not won as an underdog of +170 or more on the moneyline this season in four games with those odds or longer.

North Carolina vs. Alabama: Recent Results

Tar Heels vs Crimson Tide Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
11/27/2022	Crimson Tide	-1.5	154.5	-125	+105	103-101 ALA

North Carolina vs. Alabama: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

	North Carolina	Alabama
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	81.8 (20)	90.7 (1)
Points Allowed (Rank)	70 (112)	80.9 (355)
Rebounds (Rank)	10.4 (48)	10.9 (32)
3pt Made (Rank)	8 (119)	11 (3)
Assists (Rank)	14.4 (100)	15.9 (34)
Turnovers (Rank)	9.7 (49)	11.8 (248)

North Carolina 2023-24 Key Players

Tar Heels Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
RJ Davis	36	21.3	3.6	3.4	1.2	0.2	3.1
Armando Bacot	36	14.4	10.2	1.6	0.6	1.4	0.1
Ingram Harrison	36	12.2	8.8	2.1	1.4	0.4	1.8
Cormac Ryan	35	11.3	2.7	1.2	0.7	0.4	2
Elliot Cadeau	36	7.3	2.2	4.1	0.8	0.1	0.2

Alabama 2023-24 Key Players

Crimson Tide Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Mark Sears	34	21.5	4.3	4.1	1.7	0.1	2.4
Aaron Estrada	34	13.2	5.4	4.6	1.7	0.1	1.3
Grant Nelson	34	11.4	5.4	1.6	0.6	1.6	0.8
Rylan Griffen	33	11	3.4	1.8	0.5	0.2	1.9
Latrell Wrightsell Jr.	30	9	3	1.4	1.1	0	2.2