Michigan vs. Illinois Prediction, How to Watch, Odds, Channel - Feb 27

Updated Feb. 25, 2026 8:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Big Ten foes meet when the No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (26-2, 16-1 Big Ten) visit the No. 10 Illinois Fighting Illini (22-6, 13-4 Big Ten) at State Farm Center, tipping off at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, February 27, 2026.

The Wolverines are a slight 1.5-point favorite against the Fighting Illini. The matchup features a point total of 156.5.

Continue reading to get the download before betting on the Michigan-Illinois game.

Michigan vs. Illinois How to Watch & Odds

When: Friday, February 27, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
Where: State Farm Center in Champaign, Illinois
TV: FOX
Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Wolverines vs Fighting Illini Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Wolverines	-1.5	-102	-118	156.5	-115	-105	-111	-108

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Michigan vs. Illinois Prediction

Pick ATS: Illinois (+1.5)
Pick OU: Under (156.5)
Prediction: Michigan 79, Illinois 77

Learn more about the Michigan Wolverines vs. the Illinois Fighting Illini game on FOX Sports!

Michigan vs. Illinois Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Wolverines 79, Fighting Illini 78.
The Wolverines have a 52.6% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
The Fighting Illini have a 51.9% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Michigan is 14-14-0 ATS this season.
Illinois has won 17 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 11 times.
Michigan has covered the spread 13 times this season (13-14 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
Illinois is 3-2 ATS this year when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.

Key Total Facts

In 13 games this year, the Wolverines and their opponent have combined for more than 156.5 points.
Fighting Illini games have had over 156.5 points 13 times this year.
The over/under for this game is 156.5 points, 17.7 fewer than the scoring average of the two teams combined.

Key Moneyline Facts

Michigan has been the moneyline favorite 27 times this season. They've gone 25-2 in those games.
This season, Illinois has been the underdog five times and won three of those games.
Michigan has a record of 25-2 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -111 or shorter (winning 92.6%).
Illinois has a record of 3-2 when it is set as the underdog by -108 or more by sportsbooks this season.

Michigan vs. Illinois: Recent Results

Wolverines vs Fighting Illini Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
3/2/2025	Wolverines	-3.5	161.5	-165	+139	93-73 ILL

Michigan vs. Illinois: 2025-26 Stats Comparison

	Michigan	Illinois
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	89.1 (7)	85.1 (22)
Points Allowed (Rank)	68.7 (55)	69.0 (62)
Rebounds (Rank)	9.9 (118)	12.3 (8)
3pt Made (Rank)	9.4 (66)	11.3 (7)
Assists (Rank)	19.4 (4)	14.9 (116)
Turnovers (Rank)	11.8 (257)	8.9 (13)

Michigan 2025-26 Key Players

Wolverines Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Yaxel Lendeborg	28	14.2	7.3	3.3	1.2	1.4	1.4
Morez Johnson Jr.	28	13.2	7.3	1.2	0.8	1.2	0.2
Aday Mara	28	11.1	6.9	2.4	0.4	2.6	0.1
Elliot Cadeau	28	10.2	2.7	5.5	0.7	0.1	1.7
Trey McKenney	28	9.8	2.6	0.9	0.5	0.0	1.7

Illinois 2025-26 Key Players

Fighting Illini Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Keaton Wagler	28	18.2	5.0	4.3	0.9	0.3	2.4
Kylan Boswell	21	13.9	4.4	3.6	0.8	0.0	1.3
Andrej Stojakovic	25	13.8	4.5	1.1	0.4	0.5	0.7
David Mirkovic	28	12.7	7.7	2.6	0.4	0.3	1.5
Tomislav Ivisic	25	10.7	5.7	1.6	0.3	0.6	1.6