Michigan vs. Illinois Prediction, How to Watch, Odds, Channel - Feb 27

Updated Feb. 27, 2026 8:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (26-2, 16-1 Big Ten) hit the road in Big Ten action against the No. 10 Illinois Fighting Illini (22-6, 13-4 Big Ten) on Friday, February 27, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET.

The Wolverines are only a 1.5-point favorite against the Fighting Illini when the Wolverines and Fighting Illini face off in a game projected to be a hard-fought matchup. The game features an over/under of 159.

Continue reading to get all the information ahead of betting on the Michigan-Illinois clash.

Michigan vs. Illinois How to Watch & Odds

When: Friday, February 27, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
Where: State Farm Center in Champaign, Illinois
TV: FOX
Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Wolverines vs Fighting Illini Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Wolverines	-1.5	-111	-111	159	-113	-113	-127	+105

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Michigan vs. Illinois Prediction

Pick ATS: Illinois (+1.5)
Pick OU: Under (159)
Prediction: Michigan 79, Illinois 77

Learn more about the Michigan Wolverines vs. the Illinois Fighting Illini game on FOX Sports!

Michigan vs. Illinois Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Wolverines 80, Fighting Illini 79.
The Wolverines have a 55.9% chance to claim victory in this game per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Fighting Illini have a 48.8% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Michigan has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
Illinois has won 17 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 11 times.
Michigan is 13-14 ATS this season when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
Illinois is 3-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.

Key Total Facts

Wolverines games have finished with more than 159 points 12 times so far this season.
There have been 12 Fighting Illini games this year with more than 159 points scored.
These two teams score a combined average of 174.2 points per game, higher than the total for this matchup by 15.2 points.

Key Moneyline Facts

Michigan has gone 25-2 in games when it was listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 92.6%).
This season, Illinois has won three out of the five games in which it has been the underdog.
When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -127 or shorter, Michigan has a record of 25-2 (92.6% win percentage).
Illinois has a record of 2-1 when it is set as the underdog by +105 or more by oddsmakers this season.

Michigan vs. Illinois: Recent Results

Wolverines vs Fighting Illini Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
3/2/2025	Wolverines	-3.5	161.5	-165	+139	93-73 ILL

Michigan vs. Illinois: 2025-26 Stats Comparison

	Michigan	Illinois
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	89.1 (7)	85.1 (22)
Points Allowed (Rank)	68.7 (54)	69 (61)
Rebounds (Rank)	9.9 (113)	12.3 (7)
3pt Made (Rank)	9.4 (64)	11.3 (6)
Assists (Rank)	19.4 (4)	14.9 (113)
Turnovers (Rank)	11.8 (258)	8.9 (16)

Michigan 2025-26 Key Players

Wolverines Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Yaxel Lendeborg	28	14.2	7.3	3.3	1.2	1.4	1.4
Morez Johnson Jr.	28	13.2	7.3	1.2	0.8	1.2	0.2
Aday Mara	28	11.1	6.9	2.4	0.4	2.6	0.1
Elliot Cadeau	28	10.2	2.7	5.5	0.7	0.1	1.7
Trey McKenney	28	9.8	2.6	0.9	0.5	0	1.7

Illinois 2025-26 Key Players

Fighting Illini Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Keaton Wagler	28	18.2	5	4.3	0.9	0.3	2.4
Kylan Boswell	21	13.9	4.4	3.6	0.8	0	1.3
Andrej Stojakovic	25	13.8	4.5	1.1	0.4	0.5	0.7
David Mirkovic	28	12.7	7.7	2.6	0.4	0.3	1.5
Tomislav Ivisic	25	10.7	5.7	1.6	0.3	0.6	1.6