Michigan State vs. New Mexico Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament Second Round

Updated Mar. 23, 2025 8:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 2 seed Michigan State Spartans (28-6) try to earn a trip to the Sweet 16 in an NCAA Tournament Round of 32 matchup against the No. 10 seed New Mexico Lobos (27-7) on Sunday at Rocket Arena, starting at 8:40 p.m. ET.

The Spartans hit the court as 7.5-point favorites against the Lobos. The matchup features a point total of 148.5.

Keep reading to get all you need to know ahead of betting on the Michigan State-New Mexico clash.

Michigan State vs. New Mexico Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 8:40 p.m. ET
Where: Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio
How to watch on TV: TNT
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Spartans vs Lobos Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Spartans	-7.5	-105	-125	148.5	-110	-110	-310	+250

Michigan State vs. New Mexico Prediction

Pick ATS: New Mexico (+7.5)
Pick OU: Under (148.5)
Prediction: Michigan State 77, New Mexico 71

Learn more about the Michigan State Spartans vs. the New Mexico Lobos game on FOX Sports!

Michigan State vs. New Mexico Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Spartans 78, Lobos 70.
The Spartans have a 75.6% chance to win this game per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Lobos sit with a 28.6% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Michigan State has put together a 22-11-1 ATS record so far this year.
New Mexico has covered 16 times in 33 matchups with a spread this year.
When playing as at least 7.5-point favorites this season, Michigan State has an ATS record of 9-6.
New Mexico has not covered the spread when an underdog by 7.5 points or more this year (in one opportunity).

Key Total Facts

The Spartans and their opponent have broken the 148.5-point mark 13 times this season.
So far this season, 17 Lobos games have featured more than 148.5 points scored.
These two teams score a combined average of 159.5 points per game, higher than the total for this matchup by 11 points.

Key Moneyline Facts

Michigan State has been favored on the moneyline 27 times this season. They've gone 23-4 in those games.
New Mexico has won four of the seven games it has played as underdogs this season.
When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -310 or shorter, Michigan State has a record of 14-1 (93.3% win percentage).
New Mexico has played as an underdog of +250 or more once this season and lost that game.

Michigan State vs. New Mexico: 2024-25 Stats Comparison

	Michigan State	New Mexico
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	78.4 (68)	81.1 (27)
Points Allowed (Rank)	67.1 (45)	70.6 (135)
Rebounds (Rank)	10.6 (51)	9.9 (85)
3pt Made (Rank)	6.1 (330)	7 (260)
Assists (Rank)	16.8 (20)	15.1 (75)
Turnovers (Rank)	10.8 (142)	11.1 (173)

Michigan State 2024-25 Key Players

Spartans Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Jaden Akins	34	12.6	3.6	1.5	0.9	0.3	1.5
Jase Richardson	33	12.1	3.2	1.9	0.8	0.3	1.3
Tre Holloman	34	9.2	2	3.7	0.8	0.2	1.4
Coen Carr	34	7.9	3.6	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.1
Jaxon Kohler	34	7.9	7.7	1.3	0.4	0.8	0.5

New Mexico 2024-25 Key Players

Lobos Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Donovan Dent	34	20.6	2.4	6.4	1.4	0.9	0.8
Nelly Junior Joseph	34	14.1	11.1	1.2	1.3	1.5	0
Tru Washington	33	11.2	4	2	2.1	0.3	1.3
Mustapha Amzil	31	11	5.5	1.5	0.9	0.7	1.3
C.J. Noland	33	8.1	2.5	1.2	1.2	0.3	1.1