Duke vs. NC State Prediction, Odds, Picks - ACC Tournament

Updated Mar. 14, 2024 8:28 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 2 seed Duke Blue Devils (24-7, 15-5 ACC) are taking on the No. 10 seed NC State Wolfpack (19-14, 9-11 ACC) in the ACC tournament on Thursday at Capital One Arena, at 7:00 PM ET airing on ESPN.

The Blue Devils enter their game against the Wolfpack as double-digit favorites. The Blue Devils are favored by 11 points. The point total for the game is set at 146.

Continue reading to get all you need to know before wagering on the Duke-NC State matchup.

Duke vs. NC State Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, March 14, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
How to Watch on TV: ESPN
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Blue Devils vs Wolfpack Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Blue Devils	-11	-108	-112	146	-110	-110	-700	+490

Duke vs. NC State Prediction

Pick ATS: NC State (+11)
Pick OU: Over (146)
Prediction: Duke 78, NC State 70

Learn more about the Duke Blue Devils vs. the NC State Wolfpack game on FOX Sports!

Duke vs. NC State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Blue Devils 78, Wolfpack 68.
The Blue Devils have an 87.5% chance to claim victory in this game per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Wolfpack hold a 16.9% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Duke has put together an 18-12-1 record against the spread this season.
NC State has put together a 14-18-1 record against the spread this year.
Duke has an ATS record of 9-6-1 when playing as at least 11-point favorites this season.
NC State has won its only game this year when playing as at least 11-point underdogs.

Key Total Facts

The Blue Devils games have had more than 146 points scored on 16 occasions this season.
There have been 22 Wolfpack games this season with more than 146 points scored.
These teams score 156.5 points per game combined, higher than the over/under for this matchup by 10.5.

Key Moneyline Facts

Duke has an 18-5 record in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 78.3% of those games).
NC State has been underdogs in 12 games this season and won three (25%) of those contests.
Duke has gone 9-2 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -700 or shorter (winning 81.8%).
NC State has been at least a +490 moneyline underdog four times this season but won all of those games.

Duke vs. NC State: Recent Results

Blue Devils vs Wolfpack Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
3/4/2024	Blue Devils	-6.5	150.5	-290	+235	79-64 DUKE
2/28/2023	Blue Devils	-6.5	145	-275	+230	71-67 DUKE
1/4/2023	Blue Devils	-5	144.5	-200	+170	84-60 NCST

Duke vs. NC State: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

	Duke	NC State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	80.2 (40)	76.3 (101)
Points Allowed (Rank)	67.2 (49)	72.9 (216)
Rebounds (Rank)	9 (142)	9.5 (107)
3pt Made (Rank)	8.5 (77)	7.2 (211)
Assists (Rank)	15.4 (49)	12.8 (206)
Turnovers (Rank)	9.4 (31)	9.3 (27)

Duke 2023-24 Key Players

Blue Devils Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Kyle Filipowski	31	16.7	7.9	2.8	1.1	1.6	1.2
Jeremy Roach	30	14.3	2.5	3	1.1	0.1	1.7
Jared McCain	31	13.6	5	1.7	1.1	0.1	2.3
Mark Mitchell	28	12.1	6.1	1.1	0.8	0.7	0.3
Tyrese Proctor	27	10.6	2.9	3.8	0.7	0.1	1.8