Duke vs. Baylor Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament Second Round

Updated Mar. 23, 2025 10:27 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils (32-3) will take to the court against the No. 9 seed Baylor Bears (20-14) on Sunday with a spot in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament on the line. This matchup tips at 2:40 p.m. ET.

The Blue Devils head into their game against the Bears as double-digit favorites. The Blue Devils are favored by 12.5 points. The game's over/under is set at 143.5.

Continue scrolling to get the details before betting on the Duke-Baylor game.

Duke vs. Baylor Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 2:40 p.m. ET
Where: Lenovo Center in Raleigh, North Carolina
How to watch on TV: CBS
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Blue Devils vs Bears Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Blue Devils	-12.5	-105	-115	143.5	-110	-110	-800	+550

Duke vs. Baylor Prediction

Pick ATS: Baylor (+12.5)
Pick OU: Over (143.5)
Prediction: Duke 78, Baylor 66

Learn more about the Duke Blue Devils vs. the Baylor Bears game on FOX Sports!

Duke vs. Baylor Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Blue Devils 78, Bears 66.
The Blue Devils have an 88.9% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
The Bears hold a 15.4% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Duke has put together a 23-12-0 record against the spread this season.
Baylor has won 12 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover or pushing 20 times.
Duke has covered the spread 16 times this season (16-7 ATS) when playing as at least 12.5-point favorites.

Key Total Facts

A total of 19 times so far this season, the Blue Devils and their opponent have combined to score more than 143.5 points.
There have been 16 Bears games this season with more than 143.5 points scored.
The Blue Devils and Bears average 159.4 points per game combined, which is 15.9 more than the over/under for this matchup.

Key Moneyline Facts

Duke has put together a 30-3 record in games when it was listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 90.9% of those games).
This season, Baylor has won one out of the 11 games, or 9.1%, in which it has been the underdog.
Duke has won all 22 games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -800 or shorter.
Baylor has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +550.

Duke vs. Baylor: Recent Results

Blue Devils vs Bears Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
12/20/2023	Blue Devils	-2.5	153	-142	+120	78-70 DUKE

Duke vs. Baylor: 2024-25 Stats Comparison

	Duke	Baylor
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	83.0 (13)	76.4 (107)
Points Allowed (Rank)	61.5 (6)	69.2 (87)
Rebounds (Rank)	9.9 (85)	11.1 (33)
3pt Made (Rank)	10.2 (21)	8.4 (101)
Assists (Rank)	16.9 (17)	14.6 (100)
Turnovers (Rank)	9.0 (10)	10.3 (98)

Duke 2024-25 Key Players

Blue Devils Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Cooper Flagg	33	18.7	7.5	4.1	1.5	1.2	1.3
Kon Knueppel	35	14.1	4.0	2.7	1.1	0.2	2.1
Tyrese Proctor	34	12.2	3.2	2.3	0.9	0.1	2.3
Sion James	35	8.5	4.1	3.1	0.9	0.3	0.8
Khaman Maluach	35	8.4	6.7	0.5	0.2	1.2	0.1

Baylor 2024-25 Key Players

Bears Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Norchad Omier	34	15.8	10.9	1.6	1.2	1.0	0.6
VJ Edgecombe	32	15.0	5.6	3.3	2.1	0.6	1.6
Robert O. Wright III	34	11.5	2.1	4.3	1.0	0.1	0.9
Jeremy Roach	28	10.1	1.9	2.7	0.9	0.1	1.4
Jayden Nunn	33	8.8	2.7	1.6	1.0	0.2	1.9