As the early games kick off today, keep track of rain in Cincinnati, Pittsburgh and Atlanta. Yesterday there were contests postponed in both Minnesota and Chicago. In regards to yesterday’s game action, who would’ve guessed Cleveland’s Mike Clevinger (seven innings pitched, no earned runs, eight Ks) would’ve out-pitched Max Scherzer (five IP, three earned, six Ks)? I certainly didn’t. Time to get back on the daily fantasy horse.
Chris Archer was shelled in his last start at Cleveland on May 15. I expect he bounces back, even against a formidable Yankees lineup. He has 28 K’s over his last three starts. I also like his $10,800 price point over Yu Darvish’s $12,700 and Strasburg’s $11,300. I’ll supplement Archer with Baltimore starter Wade Miley. Miley has been serviceable this season (1-1, 3.02 ERA) and faces a Toronto lineup currently 27th in the league in on-base percentage (.305).
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Yan Gomes ($3,100) has made big strides over the last few weeks. He seems primed to continue that today against Houston starter Joe Musgrove (3-3, 4.57 ERA) who's been touched up for 17 hits over his last three starts.
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Eric Thames ($4,500) has pounded right-handed pitching all season. Eight of his 13 dingers have come against righties and Jake Arrieta has had serious issues keeping the ball in the park with a 16 percent home run to fly ball ratio. Long live Thames 2.0.
Philly’s Cesar Hernandez has been markedly better against righties (.330 BA, three homers, 23 runs scored and 10 RBI) this season than he has against lefties (.240 BA, one home run, one RBI) . At $3,900 he’s a bargain facing off against the bumbling Chad Kuhl (1-4, 6.69 ERA).
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Time to break out the big sticks. Nolan Arenado ($5,400) is a must-play against the ancient Bronson Arroyo. He doesn't hit righties as well as lefties, but who better to buck that trend against than Arroyo? After Arenado’s 0-for-4 effort on Saturday, I think he bounces back in a big way today. If the Cincinnati weather scares you, Arizona’s red-hot Jake Lamb is an option.
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Tim Beckham brings solid production (seven taters, 23 RBI) at the low, low price of $3,400. Opposing starter CC Sabathia didn’t surrender an earned run for the first time six weeks in his last start on May 16. I do not expect that to continue. Prior to the scoreless outing in KC, he’d been clobbered for an average of six earned runs over three starts.
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Carlos Gonzalez ($4,200) owns Cincy starter Bronson Arroyo with career .529/.579/.647 splits in 17 at-bats. Scott Schebler ($3,800) has a career .389 wOBA against left-handers. Marcell Ozuna ($3,700) is hitting everything this season, but 10 of his eleven homers have come against righties.