WhatIfSports 2014 College Football Week 4 Predictions

BY foxsports • December 24, 2016

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine provides game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. 

Check out our 2014 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Clemson at Florida State

Searching for statistical trends in college football can be like hunting for a needle in a haystack throughout the season.

For instance, Clemson got rocked by Georgia the first week of the season, 45-21. This past weekend, the Bulldogs - coming off a bye - were upset by the ol' ball coach and South Carolina in sloppy Columbia conditions, 38-35.

This week, the Clemson Tigers and Florida State Seminoles are both coming off BYES in the WhatIfSports.com college football featured game of the week.

For Jameis Winston and company, the thought of playing Oklahoma State (on a neutral field) and Citadel (home) back-to-back weeks to start the season earned them some R&R in Week 3.

In a small, two-game sample size, Winston has been efficient completing better than 70-percent of his passes for 626 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions.

Receiver Rashad Greene has been the biggest benefactor of Winston's arm. He's seventh in the nation in receiving yards per game at better than 141 yards per pop. Karlos Williams is the main option out of the backfield averaging better than four yards per rush with a touchdown through two games.

Florida State's rush defense got punished by the Cowboys - 161 yards and three touchdowns - and rush-heavy Citadel - 250 yards and 4.5 yards per rush. So, the Seminoles rank 103rd against the rush and 13th versus the pass two games into the season.

Clemson scored the most points in a game in 33 years by crushing MEAC sacrificial lamb South Carolina State two weeks ago, 73-7. Starting quarterback Cole Stoudt played most of the game passing for more than 300 yards with a touchdown and receiver Artavis Scott racked up 164 yards with two touchdowns.

A week prior, the Tigers' rush defense let Georgia's Todd Gurley amass 198 rush yards with three scores. With FSU focusing on a pass-first offensive mentality, it's hard to gauge how the Tigers defense will fare considering Georgia didn't need to pass and South Carolina State isn't a fair assessment.

We simulated the Seminoles and Tigers 101 times and the computer likes Florida State 59.9 percent of the time by an average score of 26-20.

College Football Week 4 Predictions
Matchup Win % Avg. Score  
Maine Black Bears 5.0 8.6 Boxscore
Boston College Eagles 95.0 43.6  
Presbyterian Blue Hose 5.0 8.0 Boxscore
North Carolina State Wolfpack 95.0 44.4  
Tulane Green Wave 24.8 17.5 Boxscore
Duke Blue Devils 75.2 27.3  
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 34.7 17.9 Boxscore
Virginia Tech Hokies 65.3 22.1  
Army Black Knights 35.6 17.6 Boxscore
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 64.4 21.9  
Clemson Tigers 40.1 20.4 Boxscore
Florida State Seminoles 59.9 26.0  
Iowa Hawkeyes 47.5 19.7 Boxscore
Pittsburgh Panthers 52.5 20.7  
Maryland Terrapins 66.3 22.3 Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange 33.7 18.1  
Southern Illinois Salukis 5.0 8.7 Boxscore
Purdue Boilermakers 95.0 42.7  
Western Illinois Leathernecks 5.0 7.9 Boxscore
Northwestern Wildcats 95.0 40.6  
Eastern Michigan Eagles 5.9 13.2 Boxscore
Michigan State Spartans 94.1 32.1  
Massachusetts Minutemen 12.9 14.1 Boxscore
Penn State Nittany Lions 87.1 28.9  
Bowling Green Falcons 26.7 20.9 Boxscore
Wisconsin Badgers 73.3 29.2  
San Jose State Spartans 29.7 22.4 Boxscore
Minnesota Golden Gophers 70.3 27.2  
Texas State Bobcats 40.6 24.8 Boxscore
Illinois Fighting Illini 59.4 26.6  
Utah Utes 39.6 18.5 Boxscore
Michigan Wolverines 60.4 23.1  
Miami (FL) Hurricanes 49.0 21.0 Boxscore
Nebraska Cornhuskers 51.0 22.0  
Norfolk State Spartans 5.0 6.8 Boxscore
Buffalo Bulls 95.0 39.2  
Murray State Racers 5.0 7.2 Boxscore
Western Michigan Broncos 95.0 38.8  
Idaho Vandals 33.7 21.3 Boxscore
Ohio Bobcats 66.3 27.9  
Ball State Cardinals 46.5 26.5 Boxscore
Toledo Rockets 53.5 27.2  
Marshall Thundering Herd 75.2 31.2 Boxscore
@ Akron Zips 24.8 22.1  
Georgia State Panthers 18.8 16.4 Boxscore
Washington Huskies 81.2 28.4  
San Diego State Aztecs 36.6 24.5 Boxscore
Oregon State Beavers 63.4 29.1  
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 36.6 20.9 Boxscore
Colorado Buffaloes 63.4 25.5  
California Golden Bears 39.1 22.7 Boxscore
Arizona Wildcats 60.9 26.4  
Oregon Ducks 85.1 33.9 Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars 14.9 21.2  
Troy Trojans 10.9 19.6 Boxscore
Georgia Bulldogs 89.1 34.6  
Indiana Hoosiers 23.8 20.1 Boxscore
Missouri Tigers 76.2 29.9  
Mississippi State Bulldogs 26.7 16.4 Boxscore
LSU Tigers 73.3 24.3  
Florida Gators 33.2 18.5 Boxscore
Alabama Crimson Tide 66.8 24.7  
Northern Illinois Huskies 47.5 22.4 Boxscore
Arkansas Razorbacks 52.5 24.1  
South Carolina Gamecocks 83.2 24.6 Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores 16.8 13.1  
Virginia Cavaliers 27.7 15.5 Boxscore
BYU Cougars 72.3 22.3  
Rutgers Scarlet Knights 49.5 24.1 Boxscore
Navy Midshipmen 50.5 24.9  
Auburn Tigers 52.5 24.1 Boxscore
@ Kansas State Wildcats 47.5 23.1  
Central Michigan Chippewas 56.9 23.8 Boxscore
@ Kansas Jayhawks 43.1 21.9  
Oklahoma Sooners 63.9 27.6 Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers 36.1 22.3  
Northwestern State Demons 5.0 8.8 Boxscore
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 95.0 43.3  
Nicholls Colonels 5.0 6.0 Boxscore
North Texas Mean Green 95.0 43.0  
Old Dominion Monarchs 33.7 23.9 Boxscore
Rice Owls 66.3 29.1  
Appalachian State Mountaineers 45.0 23.5 Boxscore
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 55.0 25.9  
Louisville Cardinals 93.1 28.5 Boxscore
@ FIU Golden Panthers 6.9 10.7  
Southern Utah Thunderbirds 5.0 7.3 Boxscore
Fresno State Bulldogs 95.0 44.7  
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 37.1 24.3 Boxscore
Boise State Broncos 62.9 29.2  
Florida Atlantic Owls 41.6 23.5 Boxscore
Wyoming Cowboys 58.4 26.0  
Georgia Southern Eagles 38.6 23.6 Boxscore
South Alabama Jaguars 61.4 26.9  
Utah State Aggies 55.9 26.4 Boxscore
@ Arkansas State Red Wolves 44.1 22.4  
New Mexico Lobos 56.4 28.4 Boxscore
@ New Mexico State Aggies 43.6 25.5  
Delaware State Hornets 5.0 6.5 Boxscore
Temple Owls 95.0 41.3  
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats 5.0 8.8 Boxscore
UCF Knights 95.0 46.2  
Miami (OH) RedHawks 12.9 14.7 Boxscore
Cincinnati Bearcats 87.1 30.1  
UNLV Rebels 35.6 22.9 Boxscore
Houston Cougars 64.4 26.5  
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 43.6 22.4 Boxscore
Memphis Tigers 56.4 23.3  
Connecticut Huskies 47.0 20.3 Boxscore
South Florida Bulls 53.0 21.3  
North Carolina Tar Heels 61.4 27.2 Boxscore
@ East Carolina Pirates 38.6 24.1  
Texas A&M Aggies 87.1 32.5 Boxscore
@ SMU Mustangs 12.9 16.8  

For additional statistics, view our weekly college football predictions.



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