National Football League
2024 NFL odds: Steelers-Bills total dropped to lowest playoff total since 2009
National Football League

2024 NFL odds: Steelers-Bills total dropped to lowest playoff total since 2009

Updated Jan. 15, 2024 2:55 a.m. ET

The Pittsburgh Steelers-Buffalo Bills wild-card contest has become more about the snow than football. 

Buffalo, winners of the AFC East, is playing host to Pittsburgh on Monday, with a berth in the AFC Divisional Round on the line. The Bills are moved to 10-point favorites as of Saturday afternoon.

But whichever team hopes to emerge victorious will have to deal with some … inclimate weather. 


Related: NFL wild-card odds, predictions, best bets by 'The Bear'

Hoping for better conditions, the NFL moved the game from Sunday to Monday. 

The total (Over/Under) for the game opened at 43.5, but as the temperature has worsened, so has the total. 

As of Saturday morning, the total was 33 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which would've been the lowest total for a playoff game since 2009, when the Ravens faced the Titans in the AFC Divisional Round. The total for that game was 33.5.

In that game, Kerry Collins started for Tennessee, and Joe Flacco started for Baltimore. The Ravens won 13-10, as the Under hit.

PIT 17 · BUF 31
Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills

AccuWeather is predicting a high of 18 degrees, wind gusts of 32 miles per hour and 3.2 inches of snow, with a 96% chance of precipitation. 

The AccuWeather "RealFeel" is set at 1 degree so the NFL pushed the game back one day.

Temperatures are expected to be around 20 degrees with snow showers at kickoff Monday.

With the game moving to Monday, the total is on the move, too. Monday's total moved back up to 37.5 then moved again to 38.5 on Sunday.

For those wondering how teams do in wind games historically, here is a trend that sticks out: Since 2003, there have been 28 playoff games with an average temperature of less than 40 degrees and average win speeds between 10 and 19 MPH. 

The Under has hit in 19 of those games with one push (68%).

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