Patrick Mahomes II Odds and Prop Bets vs. Ravens – AFC Championship Game 2024

Updated Jan. 28, 2024 2:49 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Kansas City Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes II will take the field against the Baltimore Ravens at 3:00 PM ET on Sunday for the AFC Championship Game of the NFL playoffs. Below, we dig into Mahomes' stats and trends as they relate to his prop bets to help you find the best bets for this matchup.

Learn more about Patrick Mahomes II vs. the Baltimore Ravens on FOX Sports.

Patrick Mahomes II vs. Ravens Player Props

Pass Yds Over/Under	Pass Yds Over Payout	Pass TDs Over/Under	Pass TDs Over Payout	Anytime TD Odds
243.5	-115	1.5	-120	+550

Patrick Mahomes II vs. Baltimore Game Info

Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens
Game Day: January 28, 2024
Game Time: 3:00 PM
Passing Yards Prop: Over 243.5 (-115)
TV: Watch on CBS

Patrick Mahomes II Season Stats

Pass Comp.	Pass Att.	Comp. %	Pass Yards	Pass TDs	INTs	Pass Yards/Att.	Rush Att.	Rush Yards	Rush TDs
401	597	67.2%	4,183	27	14	7.0	75	389	0

Patrick Mahomes II Betting Insights

Sunday's over/under for Mahomes is 243.5 passing yards. That's 17.9 fewer yards than his 261.4 average for the season.
In nine of 16 matchups this season, he has topped 243.5 passing yards.
Mahomes' passing yards average of 261.4 yards this year is lower than his average prop bet total (272.5) by 11.1 passing yards.
So far this season, he has exceeded his passing yards prop total in four of 12 opportunities.
Mahomes has tossed a touchdown pass in 15 of 16 games this season, with more than one TD throw nine times.

Ravens' Defense 2023 Rankings

Stat	AVG (Rank)
Pass Yds/Game Allowed	191.9 (6)
Pass Yds/Attempt Allowed	5.1 (1)
Rush Yds/Game Allowed	109.4 (14)
Rush Yds/Attempt Allowed	4.5 (24)
Total Yds/Game Allowed	301.4 (6)
Yards/Play Allowed	5 (4)
Points/Game Allowed	16.5 (1)

Chiefs' 2023 Stats

On defense, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit, ranking second-best by surrendering just 289.8 yards per game. They rank ninth on offense (351.3 yards per game).
Looking at pace stats, Kansas City is one of the quickest offenses in the league this season, getting off 64 offensive plays per game (10th in NFL).
The Chiefs rank sixth in passing yards this year (246.4 per game), but they've been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 176.5 passing yards allowed per game.
The Chiefs are averaging 104.9 rushing yards per game offensively this year (19th in NFL), and they are giving up 113.2 rushing yards per game (17th) on defense.
So far this season, Kansas City is passing 58.8% of the time, making it one of the most pass-happy teams in the league (third in NFL). It runs the ball at a 38.6% clip.
This season, the Chiefs are putting up 5.7 yards per play on offense (11th in the league), while featuring the fourth-best yards per play on defense in the NFL (5).

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.