Patrick Mahomes II Odds and Prop Bets vs. Dolphins – AFC Wild Card Round 2024

Updated Jan. 13, 2024 6:54 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Patrick Mahomes II will look to make an impact for the Kansas City Chiefs when they take on the Miami Dolphins at 8:10 PM ET on Saturday in the AFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs. Let's break down Mahomes' prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this matchup to help you make your best bets.

Learn more about Patrick Mahomes II vs. the Miami Dolphins on FOX Sports.

Patrick Mahomes II vs. Dolphins Player Props

Pass Yds Over/Under	Pass Yds Over Payout	Pass TDs Over/Under	Pass TDs Over Payout	Anytime TD Odds
242.5	-115	1.5	-128	+375

Patrick Mahomes II vs. Miami Game Info

Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Miami Dolphins
Game Day: January 13, 2024
Game Time: 8:10 PM
Passing Yards Prop: Over 242.5 (-115)
TV: Watch on Peacock

Patrick Mahomes II Season Stats

Pass Comp.	Pass Att.	Comp. %	Pass Yards	Pass TDs	INTs	Pass Yards/Att.	Rush Att.	Rush Yards	Rush TDs
401	597	67.2%	4,183	27	14	7	75	389	0

Patrick Mahomes II Betting Insights

Mahomes is throwing for 261.4 yards per game, which is 18.9 more than his over/under on Saturday.
In nine games this year, he has thrown for over 242.5 yards.
Mahomes' 261.4 passing yards per game are 11.1 below his average prop bet total of 272.5 yards.
This year, he has topped his passing yards prop total in four of 12 opportunities.
Mahomes has tossed a touchdown pass in 15 of 16 games this year, with more than one TD throw nine times.

Dolphins' Defense 2023 Rankings

Stat	AVG (Rank)
Pass Yds/Game Allowed	221.2 (15)
Pass Yds/Attempt Allowed	6.6 (14)
Rush Yds/Game Allowed	97.1 (7)
Rush Yds/Attempt Allowed	3.8 (4)
Total Yds/Game Allowed	318.3 (10)
Yards/Play Allowed	5.5 (12)
Points/Game Allowed	23 (22)

Chiefs' 2023 Stats

On defense, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit, ranking second-best by giving up only 289.8 yards per game. They rank ninth on offense (351.3 yards per game).
Looking at pace of play, Kansas City is one of the quickest teams in the league this season, getting off 64 offensive plays per game (10th in NFL).
The Chiefs rank sixth in passing yards this season (246.4 per game), but they've been playing really well on the defensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 176.5 passing yards allowed per game.
The Chiefs are averaging 104.9 rushing yards per game offensively this season (19th in NFL), and they are giving up 113.2 rushing yards per game (17th) on the defensive side of the ball.
This season, Kansas City has been one of the most pass-heavy teams in the league, throwing 58.8% of the time (third in NFL). To compare, it is running the ball 38.6% of the time, with 2.6% of its plays ending in a sack.
This season, the Chiefs are putting up 5.7 yards per play on offense (11th in the league), while featuring the fourth-best yards per play on defense in the NFL (5).

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.