Justin Watson Odds and Prop Bets vs. Lions – NFL Week 1 2023

Updated Sep. 7, 2023 6:49 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Week 1 NFL action will see Justin Watson and the Kansas City Chiefs match up against the Detroit Lions at 8:20 PM ET on Thursday. In this piece we'll dig into Watson's stats and trends to help you make good predictions among his prop bets for this contest.

Learn more about Justin Watson vs. the Detroit Lions on FOX Sports.

Justin Watson vs. Lions Player Props

Rec. Yds Over/Under	Rec. Yds Over Payout	Anytime TD Odds
14.5	-118	+450

Justin Watson vs. Detroit Game Info

Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Detroit Lions
Game Day: September 7, 2023
Game Time: 8:20 PM
Receiving Yards Prop: Over 14.5 (-118)
TV: Watch on NBC

Justin Watson Stats (2022)

Targets	Receptions	Yards	YAC	TDs	Yards/Catch
34	15	315	60	2	9.3

Justin Watson Betting Insights

Watson's 18.5 receiving yards per game average from a season ago is 4.0 more than his prop bet total on Thursday (14.5).
In 41.2% of his games last season (seven of 17), he recorded over 14.5 receiving yards.
Watson's average of 18.5 receiving yards per game was 2.4 more than his average prop bet over/under (16.1) last season.
Last year, in four of his nine games (44.4%), he hit the over on receiving yards prop bets.
Watson had a touchdown catch in two games last season (17 games played). He did not have multiple touochdown receptions in either of those games.

Lions' Defense 2022 Rankings

Stat	AVG (Rank)
Pass Yds/Game Allowed	245.8 (30)
Pass Yds/Attempt Allowed	7.5 (31)
Rush Yds/Game Allowed	146.5 (29)
Rush Yds/Attempt Allowed	5.2 (30)
Total Yds/Game Allowed	392.4 (32)
Yards/Play Allowed	6.4 (32)
Points/Game Allowed	25.1 (28)

Chiefs' 2022 Stats

The Chiefs ranked 11th in total defense last year (328.2 yards allowed per game), but they thrived on offense, ranking best in the NFL with 413.6 total yards per game.
Looking at pace of play, Kansas City was 13th in the NFL last season, running 64 offensive plays per game.
On offense, the Chiefs were a top-five unit in terms of passing yards last season, ranking best in the NFL by totaling 297.8 passing yards per game. They ranked 18th on defense (220.9 passing yards allowed per game).
The Chiefs put up 115.9 rushing yards per game on offense (20th in the NFL) last season, and they ranked eighth on the other side of the ball with 107.2 rushing yards allowed per game.
Last season, Kansas City had one of the most pass-heavy attacks in the league, airing it out 59.5% of the time (fourth in NFL). To compare, it rushed the ball 38.1% of the time, with 2.4% of its plays ending in a sack.
The Chiefs had the 11th-ranked defense last season in terms of yards per play (5.5 yards per play allowed), and they were better on offense, ranking best with 6.6 yards per play.