Falcons vs. Saints 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 4

In a battle featuring two teams coming off wins, the Atlanta Falcons (7-9) will meet the New Orleans Saints (6-10). The Falcons have taken three in a row, the Saints four in a row. Atlanta is favored by 4.5 points. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 43.5.

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Falcons vs. Saints Odds & Betting Lines

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Falcons vs. Saints Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Falcons (-4.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (43.5)
  
• Prediction: Falcons 24 - Saints 19

How to Watch Atlanta vs. New Orleans

• Game date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• TV: Watch on FOX
• Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Falcons vs. Saints Recent Matchups

• Atlanta has a 3-2 record against New Orleans in their last five matchups.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, New Orleans has scored 117 points against Atlanta, while allowing only 108 points.

Atlanta Betting Info

• Against the spread, Atlanta is 9-7-0 this year.
• The Falcons have been favored by 4.5 points or more this season twice, and failed to cover both times.
• Atlanta games in 2025 have hit the over eight times in 16 opportunities (50%).
• When playing as moneyline favorites, the Falcons have won 33.3% of the time (2-4).
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Falcons' implied win probability is 67.2%.

Falcons Stats

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

• On the ground, Bijan Robinson averages 5.3 yards per attempt (second in the NFL) and 90.3 yards per game for 1,445 total rushing yards (fourth in the NFL). He has scored seven rushing touchdowns this season.
• Robinson has been targeted 100 times in the passing game and has 76 catches (4.8 per game) for 810 yards (50.6 per game) and four TDs.
• Drake London has 64 catches for 841 yards and six TDs. Through 11 games, he is averaging 5.8 catches and 76.5 yards per game.
• In the passing attack, Kyle Pitts, has racked up 870 receiving yards and five touchdowns after hauling in 82 balls (10th in the NFL) on 109 targets. Per game, he's averaging 54.4 yards and 5.1 receptions through 16 games.
• Tyler Allgeier has rushed for 498 yards with eight touchdowns (31.1 yards per game in 16 games).

Defense

• Over on defense, Kaden Elliss has 101 tackles, 10 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and one interception in 2025.
• Xavier Watts has picked off five pases (second in the NFL) and has added 85 tackles and 10 passes defended.
• Jessie Bates III has put up 95 tackles, one TFL, and three interceptions this year. He's second on the Falcons in tackles.
• This season, DeAundre Alford has 55 tackles, five TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions.

New Orleans Betting Info

• New Orleans has covered the spread eight times over 16 games with a set total.
• So far this year, the Saints have been installed as underdogs by a 4.5-point margin or more eight times and are 4-4 ATS in those matchups.
• Games involving New Orleans have hit the over on five occasions this year.
• The Saints have been underdogs in 12 games this season and won three (25%) of those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Saints have a 37.0% chance to win.

Saints Stats

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

• So far this year, Chris Olave has 100 receptions (seventh in the NFL) for 1,163 yards (seventh in the NFL) with nine receiving touchdowns (seventh in the NFL). He has been targeted 156 times and averages 6.3 catches per game in 16 games played.
• Tyler Shough has 2,125 passing yards, nine touchdowns and five interceptions. His completion percentage is 67.8% and he averages 212.5 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt.
• He has also added 152 rushing yards (fifth on the Saints), with two touchdowns on the ground (averaging 15.2 yards per game and 3.6 per carry).
• In 16 games played this season, Juwan Johnson has 74 catches (4.6 receptions per game on 6.1 targets per game) for 828 yards and three receiving touchdowns.
• Spencer Rattler has 1,586 passing yards, eight touchdowns and five interceptions. His completion percentage is 67.6% and he averages 176.2 yards per game and 6.2 per attempt.
• Rattler also has 167 rushing yards (fourth on the Saints).

Defense

• Demario Davis has 0.5 sacks to go with six TFL and 137 tackles over 16 games in 2025.
• Alontae Taylor has registered two sacks in addition to his six TFL, 78 tackles, and two interceptions over 16 games.
• Over the 2025 season, Cameron Jordan has 43 tackles, 13 TFL, and 9.5 sacks through 16 games.
• Chase Young has totaled 8.5 sacks (second on the Saints) as well as nine TFL and 32 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Atlanta Falcons

New Orleans Saints