Falcons vs. Saints 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 4

The Atlanta Falcons (7-9) are 3.5-point favorites over the New Orleans Saints (6-10), in a battle of two squads on winning streaks. The Falcons are winners of three in a row, while the Saints have taken four in a row. The expected point total for the matchup is 44.5.

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Falcons vs. Saints Odds & Betting Lines

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Falcons vs. Saints Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Falcons (-3.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (44.5)
  
• Prediction: Falcons 24 - Saints 19

How to Watch Atlanta vs. New Orleans

• Game date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• TV: Watch on FOX
• Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Falcons vs. Saints Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Atlanta has tallied three wins against New Orleans.
• Atlanta has been outscored by 9 points in its last five tilts versus New Orleans.

Atlanta Betting Info

• Atlanta is 9-7-0 against the spread this year.
• The Falcons have not covered the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
• Atlanta contests this year have hit the over 50% of the time (eight times in 16 games with a set point total).
• When playing as moneyline favorites, the Falcons are 2-4, picking up a win 33.3% of the time.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Falcons' implied win probability is 66.4%.

Falcons Stats

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

• On the ground, Bijan Robinson averages 5.3 yards per attempt (second in the NFL) and 90.3 yards per game for 1,445 total rushing yards (fourth in the NFL). He has recorded seven rushing touchdowns this season.
• Robinson has 100 targets, 76 receptions, 810 receiving yards and four TDs through the air.
• Drake London has caught 64 passes on 104 targets for 841 total yards and six touchdowns. He is averaging 5.8 catches and 76.5 yards per game through 11 games.
• Kyle Pitts has five touchdown catches this season, and has 82 receptions (10th in the NFL) for 870 yards on 109 targets, while averaging 5.1 catches and 54.4 yards per game.
• Tyler Allgeier has rushed for 498 yards with eight touchdowns (31.1 yards per game across 16 games).

Defense

• Over on the defensive side, Kaden Elliss has one interception to go with 101 tackles, 10.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and five passes defended in 2025.
• Xavier Watts has 85 tackles and five interceptions this season.
• Jessie Bates III has collected 95 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three interceptions this year.
• DeAundre Alford has two interceptions while tacking on 55 tackles, 5.0 TFL, two sacks, and 11 passes defended.

New Orleans Betting Info

• New Orleans has compiled an 8-8-0 record against the spread this season.
• So far this year, the Saints have been installed as underdogs by a 3.5-point margin or more 10 times and are 4-6 ATS in those games.
• New Orleans games have gone over the total five times this year.
• This season, the Saints have won three out of the 12 games, or 25%, in which they've been the underdog.
• The Saints have a 37.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Saints Stats

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

• Chris Olave has totaled 1,163 receiving yards (seventh in the NFL) and nine touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) on 100 receptions (sixth in the NFL), while being targeted 156 times this season.
• Through 10 games, Tyler Shough has 2,125 passing yards, with nine touchdowns against five interceptions and completing 67.8% of his passes.
• He has added 152 rushing yards (fifth on the Saints), while scoring two touchdowns on the ground (averaging 15.2 yards per game and 3.6 per carry).
• In 16 games played this season, Juwan Johnson has 74 catches (4.6 receptions per game on 6.1 targets per game) for 828 yards and three receiving touchdowns.
• Spencer Rattler has 1,586 passing yards, eight touchdowns and five interceptions. His completion percentage is 67.6% and he averages 176.2 yards per game and 6.2 per attempt.
• He has tacked on 167 rushing yards (fourth on the Saints), with zero touchdowns on the ground (averaging 18.6 yards per game and 5.4 per carry).

Defense

• Demario Davis has put up 0.5 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL and 137 tackles through 16 games in 2025.
• Alontae Taylor's stat sheet includes two interceptions as well as 78 tackles, 6.0 TFL, two sacks, and 11 passes defended.
• Cameron Jordan has 43 tackles, 13.0 TFL, and 9.5 sacks in the 2025 campaign.
• Chase Young has 32 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 8.5 sacks, and three passes defended.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Atlanta Falcons

New Orleans Saints