Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 1

Published Sep. 27, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

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Having taken three straight, the Philadelphia Eagles (3-0) will play the Washington Commanders (2-1). The Eagles are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -8). The predicted point total for the game is 43.5.

Eagles vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines

Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Philadelphia (-8)
  
• Pick OU: Over (43.5)
  
• Prediction: Philadelphia 28 - Washington 20

How to Watch Philadelphia vs. Washington

• Game Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• TV: Watch on FOX

Eagles vs. Commanders Recent Matchups

• Philadelphia holds a 4-1 record against Washington in their last five matchups.
• Washington has been outscored by 44 points in its last five tilts versus Philadelphia.

Philadelphia Betting Info

• Philadelphia went 8-9-0 ATS last season.
• As an 8-point favorite or greater, the Eagles had two wins ATS (2-4) last season.
• Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total nine times in Philadelphia games.
• The Eagles were the moneyline favorite 16 total times last season. They finished 14-2 in those games.
• In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -360 or shorter, Philadelphia had a 4-1 record (winning 80% of its games).
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Eagles have an implied win probability of 78.3%.

Eagles Stats (2022)

Philadelphia's Key Players

Offense

• Jalen Hurts averaged 8 passing yards per attempt (third in the NFL) and 246.7 yards per game last year, completing 66.5% of his passes on the way to 3,701 total yards (10th in the NFL), 22 touchdowns and six interceptions in 15 games.
• He added 760 yards on the ground, with 13 rushing touchdowns. He averaged 50.7 yards per game and 4.6 per attempt.
• A.J. Brown had 88 catches for 1,496 yards (fourth in the NFL) and 11 receiving touchdowns (third in the NFL). He was targeted 145 times and averaged 5.2 receptions per game over 17 games played.
• For the Falcons last season, Marcus Mariota threw for 2,219 yards last year, 15 touchdowns and nine interceptions. He completed 61.3% of his attempts while averaging 170.7 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt.
• He added 438 yards on the ground, while scoring four rushing touchdowns. He averaged 33.7 yards per game and 5.2 per attempt.
• DeVonta Smith had 95 catches for 1,196 yards (ninth in the NFL) and seven receiving touchdowns. He averaged 5.6 yards per game over 17 games and was targeted 136 times.

Defense

• In 2022, Haason Reddick amassed 16 sacks to go with 11 TFL and 49 tackles over 17 games. He ranked second in the NFL in sacks.
• Nicholas Morrow's stat sheet for the Bears included one interception as well as 116 tackles, 11 TFL, and two passes defended.
• Over the 2022 season, Josh Sweat had 48 tackles, 15 TFL, 11 sacks, and one interception over 16 games.
• Brandon Graham had 11 sacks as well as 11 TFL and 35 tackles.

Washington Betting Info

• Washington compiled a 9-8-0 record against the spread last season.
• The Commanders covered every time (1-0) as underdogs of 8 points or more last season.
• Washington and its opponent combined to go over the point total five out of 17 times last season.
• The Commanders were underdogs eight times last season and won four of those games.
• Washington entered one game last season as the underdog by +285 or more and won each of those games.
• The Commanders have a 26.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Commanders Stats (2022)

Washington's Key Players

Offense

• Jacoby Brissett passed for 2,608 yards last year for the Browns, with 12 TDs and six INTs. He completed 64% of his attempts, averaging 186.3 yards per game and 7.1 per attempt.
• Brissett also rushed for two TDs and 243 yards.
• Terry McLaurin had 77 receptions for 1,191 yards (10th in the NFL) and five receiving TDs. He was targeted 120 times and averaged 4.5 catches in 17 games.
• Antonio Gibson rushed for three TDs last season and totaled 546 rushing yards (36.4 per game and 3.7 per carry).
• In addition to his ground game, Gibson pulled down 46 passes (on 58 targets) for 353 yards with two receiving TDs. He averaged 23.5 receiving yards per game.
• Curtis Samuel was targeted 92 times, resulting in 64 receptions for 656 yards .

Defense

• Cody Barton's 2022 season included 133 tackles, four TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions over 17 games for the Seahawks.
• Da'Ron Payne posted 64 tackles, 18 TFL, and 11.5 sacks.
• Jonathan Allen had 7.5 sacks and 16 TFL, 65 tackles, and one interception during the 2022 campaign.
• Jamin Davis' production included 104 tackles, nine TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended in 16 games.

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NFL - Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles - 10/01/2023