Dolphins vs. Panthers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 15

Published Oct. 11, 2023 1:07 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Carolina Panthers (0-5) will be attempting to end a five-game losing streak against the Miami Dolphins (4-1). The Dolphins are heavy favorites (-13.5). The over/under for this one is set at 48.5 points.

Dolphins vs. Panthers Odds & Betting Lines

Dolphins vs Panthers Betting Information updated as of October 10, 2023, 1:33 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Dolphins	-13.5	-108	-112	48.5	-110	-110

Dolphins vs. Panthers Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Pick Em
Pick OU: Over (48.5)
Prediction: Miami 34 - Carolina 21

How to Watch Miami vs. Carolina

Game Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
TV: Watch on CBS

Dolphins vs. Panthers Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Miami has put up three wins versus Carolina.
Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Carolina has racked up 112 points, while Miami has posted 111.

Miami Betting Info

Miami has four wins in five games versus the spread this season.
Miami has combined with its opponent to gone over the point total in 60% of its contests this year (three times over five games with a set point total).
The Dolphins have not yet lost a game they played as the moneyline favorite, going 3-0 in those matchups this season.
Miami has played as a moneyline favorite of -800 or shorter in only one game this season, which it won.
Looking at this matchup's moneyline, the Dolphins' implied win probability is 88.9%.

Dolphins Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	327.8 (1,639)	1
Rush yards	185.8 (929)	1
Points scored	36.2 (181)	1
Pass yards against	237.4 (1,187)	20
Rush yards against	115.8 (579)	18
Points allowed	27.0 (135)	26

Miami's Key Players

Offense

Tua Tagovailoa ranks first in the NFL with 1,614 passing yards in five games this year, averaging 322.8 per game with a 71.7% completion percentage and 11 touchdowns (second in the NFL) against five interceptions.
Tyreek Hill has 36 catches (sixth in the NFL) for 651 yards (first in the NFL) and five TDs. In five games, he is averaging 7.2 catches and 130.2 yards per game.
Devon Achane has 460 rushing yards (second in the NFL) with five touchdowns (115.0 yards per game across four games).
Achane has totaled nine catches on 11 targets for 67 yards, with two receiving TDs.
Raheem Mostert has rushed for 314 yards with seven touchdowns (62.8 yards per game in five games).
Mostert's 17 receiving targets have resulted in 15 receptions (3.0 per game) for 128 yards (25.6 per game) and one TD.

Defense

On defense, Jevon Holland has 43 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three passes defended in 2023.
Andrew Van Ginkel has 22 tackles, 6.0 TFL, four sacks, and two passes defended.
David Long has put up 35 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one sack this year.
So far this season, Zach Sieler has 20 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks.

Carolina Betting Info

Carolina has not covered the spread this season (0-4-1).
Games involving Carolina have hit the over twice this season.
The Panthers have been listed as the underdog five times this season and have failed to win any of those games.
Carolina has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +550 moneyline set for this game.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 15.4% chance of a victory for the Panthers.

Panthers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	198.4 (992)	22
Rush yards	96.0 (480)	21
Points scored	18.2 (91)	23
Pass yards against	185.0 (925)	5
Rush yards against	140.8 (704)	26
Points allowed	28.8 (144)	28

Carolina's Key Players

Offense

Adam Thielen has totaled 394 receiving yards and three touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) on 38 receptions (fourth in the NFL), while being targeted 46 times this season.
Bryce Young has 750 passing yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions. His completion percentage is 63.9% and he averages 187.5 yards per game and 5.2 per attempt.
Young also has 65 rushing yards (third on the Panthers).
Miles Sanders is averaging 38.0 rushing yards per game this season (190 total yards), while scoring one rushing touchdown.
Sanders has helped out in the receiving game, picking up 81 receiving yards (16.2 per game) on 15 catches (3.0 per game), while being targeted 24 times. He is trying for his first receiving touchdown.
D.J. Chark has 171 receiving yards and two touchdowns from 10 receptions after receiving 21 targets.

Defense

So far in 2023, Brian Burns has amassed 4.0 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL and 18 tackles over five games.
Frankie Luvu has 30 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks. He is second on the Panthers in tackles.
Derrick Brown has 1.0 sack (fourth on the Panthers) in addition to his 2.0 TFL and 29 tackles.
Vonn Bell has intercepted one pass to go with 33 tackles and two passes defended.