Chiefs vs. Steelers 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 25

The Kansas City Chiefs (14-1) are small favorites (-2) over the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5). The Chiefs have won five games in a row. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 46.

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Chiefs vs. Steelers Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs. Steelers Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Steelers (+2)
  
• Pick OU: Under (46)
  
• Prediction: Chiefs 22 - Steelers 21

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Pittsburgh

• Game Date: Wednesday, December 25, 2024
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: Acrisure Stadium
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• TV: Netflix
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

• Ravens vs. Texans Prediction
• Seahawks vs. Bears Prediction

Chiefs vs. Steelers Recent Matchups

• Kansas City owns a 3-2 record against Pittsburgh in their last five matchups.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Kansas City has tallied 149 points versus Pittsburgh, while allowing only 105 points.

Kansas City Betting Info

• In 15 Kansas City games this year, it has six wins against the spread.
• The Chiefs have been favored by 2 points or more 13 times this season, and covered the spread in five of those contests.
• Kansas City games this year have hit the over on seven of 15 set point totals (46.7%).
• The Chiefs were the moneyline favorite 13 times this season, and won each of those games.
• The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Chiefs a 55.6% chance to win.

Chiefs Stats

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

• Patrick Mahomes has passed for 3,608 yards (seventh in the NFL), 23 touchdowns (ninth in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He is averaging 240.5 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt, while completing 66.9% of his attempts.
• In addition to his passing statistics, Mahomes also has 295 rushing yards (second on the Chiefs), with two rushing touchdowns.
• Kareem Hunt has put up 708 rushing yards with six touchdowns (59 yards per game over 12 games). His 3.7 yards per attempt rank 41st in the league.
• Hunt's 32 targets through the air have resulted in 23 catches (1.9 per game) for 176 yards (14.7 per game) and zero touchdowns.
• In the passing attack, Xavier Worthy, has totaled 559 receiving yards and five touchdowns after hauling in 51 balls on 89 targets. Per game, he's averaging 37.3 yards and 3.4 receptions over 15 games.
• DeAndre Hopkins averages 3.6 receptions and 40.2 yards per game, and has 603 total receiving yards and 54 catches. He's gotten 76 total targets, and has caught five touchdown passes.

Defense

• On defense, Nick Bolton has one interception to go with 98 tackles, 11 TFL, three sacks, and four passes defended in 2024.
• Drue Tranquill has 85 tackles, four TFL, and two sacks this season. He's second on the Chiefs in tackles.
• Chamarri Conner has put up 65 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and two interceptions this year. He's fifth on the Chiefs in tackles.
• Justin Reid has one interception with 80 tackles, five TFL, and eight passes defended.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

• Pittsburgh is 10-5-0 against the spread this season.
• The Steelers have been underdogs by 2 points or more six times this season and are 4-2 ATS in those contests.
• This season, eight Pittsburgh games have gone over the point total.
• The Steelers have entered the game as underdogs seven times this season and won five of those games.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 48.8% chance of a victory for the Steelers.

Steelers Stats

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

• Najee Harris has rushed for five touchdowns this year, and has racked up 933 total rushing yards (62.2 per game and 3.9 per carry).
• Harris' offensive contributions include 30 receptions (two per game) on 39 targets for 256 yards (17.1 per game), but he has not found the endzone in the passing game.
• In nine games, Russell Wilson has 2,129 passing yards, with 15 touchdowns against four interceptions and completing 64.9% of his passes.
• Wilson also has one rushing touchdown and 84 rushing yards (fifth on the Steelers).
• Through 10 games this season, Justin Fields has totaled 1,106 passing yards, while throwing five touchdowns against one interception and completing 65.8% of his attempts.
• Fields has also rushed for five touchdowns and 289 yards (third on the Steelers).
• George Pickens has 850 receiving yards and three touchdowns from 55 receptions after getting 90 targets.

Defense

• T.J. Watt has 11.5 sacks (first on the Steelers and fourth in the NFL) to go with 18 TFL and 58 tackles through 15 games in 2024.
• Cameron Heyward has totaled eight sacks in addition to his 11 TFL and 66 tackles through 15 games.
• DeShon Elliott has intercepted one pass on top of 96 tackles, three TFL, and six passes defended in the 2024 season.
• Patrick Queen has put up five TFL and 117 tackles over 15 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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