Browns vs. Ravens Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 1

Published Sep. 27, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

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In a matchup of two division rivals, the Cleveland Browns (2-1) will play the Baltimore Ravens (2-1). The Browns are small favorites (-2.5). The total for this one is set at 40.5 points.

Browns vs. Ravens Odds & Betting Lines

Browns vs. Ravens Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Baltimore (+2.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (40.5)
  
• Prediction: Cleveland 20 - Baltimore 18

How to Watch Cleveland vs. Baltimore

• Game Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Cleveland Browns Stadium
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• TV: Watch on CBS

Browns vs. Ravens Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Baltimore has collected three wins versus Cleveland.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Cleveland has scored 112 points versus Baltimore, while allowing only 108 points.

Cleveland Betting Info

• Cleveland covered nine times in 17 games with a spread last season.
• The Browns had an ATS record of 3-3 as 2.5-point favorites or more last season.
• Cleveland games hit the over eight out of 17 times last season.
• The Browns went 3-4 in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 42.9% of those games).
• Cleveland had a 3-2 record last year (winning 60% of its games) when it played as a moneyline favorite of -148 or shorter.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Browns' implied win probability is 59.7%.

Browns Stats (2022)

Cleveland's Key Players

Offense

• Amari Cooper put up 1,160 receiving yards and nine touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) on 78 receptions, while being targeted 132 times last season.
• Donovan Peoples-Jones put together a 2022 campaign that included 61 catches for 839 yards and three receiving touchdowns over 17 games played. He was on the receiving end of 96 targets and averaged 3.6 receptions per game.
• Kareem Hunt rushed for three touchdowns last year and totaled 468 rushing yards (27.5 per game and 3.8 per attempt).
• Hunt's statistic output included 35 receptions (2.1 per game) on 44 targets for 210 yards (12.4 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
• Over the course of six games, Deshaun Watson had 1,102 passing yards, with seven touchdowns against five interceptions and completing 58.2% of his passes.
• He also added 175 rushing yards, with one touchdown on the ground (averaging 29.2 yards per game and 4.9 per carry).

Defense

• Myles Garrett's 2022 output included 60 tackles, 18 TFL, and 16 sacks over 16 games.
• Grant Delpit had four interceptions on top of 101 tackles, four TFL, and 10 passes defended.
• During his 2022 season for the Vikings, Za'Darius Smith had 44 tackles, 15 TFL, and 10 sacks in 16 games.
• Rodney McLeod registered eight TFL, 92 tackles, and two interceptions in 16 games for the Colts.

Baltimore Betting Info

• Baltimore put together an 8-9-0 record against the spread last season.
• The Ravens had an ATS record of 3-1 as underdogs of 2.5 points or more last year.
• Last year, five Baltimore games went over the point total.
• Last season, the Ravens were the underdog five times and won two of those games.
• Last season, Baltimore was at least a +124 underdog on the moneyline four times, losing each of those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Ravens have a 44.6% chance to win.

Ravens Stats (2022)

Baltimore's Key Players

Offense

• In 12 games last year, Lamar Jackson totaled 2,242 passing yards, while throwing 17 TD passes and seven INTs, connecting on 62.3% of his attempts.
• Jackson also ran for three TDs and 764 yards.
• Mark Andrews had 847 yards receiving and five TDs on 73 catches, and was targeted 113 times.
• In 14 games last season, Devin Duvernay had 37 catches (2.6 per game on 3.5 targets per game) for 407 yards and three TDs.
• Gus Edwards averaged 48.1 yards rushing per game in nine games (433 total yards), with three rushing TDs.

Defense

• In 2022, Roquan Smith recorded 4.5 sacks to go along with 11 TFL, 169 tackles, and three interceptions over 17 games.
• Patrick Queen posted 117 tackles, nine TFL, five sacks, and two interceptions.
• Marlon Humphrey had three sacks and three TFL, 71 tackles, and three interceptions during the 2022 season.
• Marcus Williams totaled two TFL, 61 tackles, and four interceptions.

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NFL - Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns - 10/01/2023