Aaron Jones Odds and Prop Bets vs. Lions – NFL Week 4 2023

Updated Sep. 28, 2023 6:49 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Green Bay Packers and Aaron Jones will square off against the Detroit Lions at 8:15 PM ET on Thursday for a Week 4 NFL contest. In this article, we break down all of Jones' prop bets set for this matchup, and examine the stats to figure out the best bets and top trends ahead of this outing.

Learn more about Aaron Jones vs. the Detroit Lions on FOX Sports.

Aaron Jones vs. Lions Player Props

Rush Yds Over/Under	Rush Yds Over Payout	Rec. Yds Over/Under	Rec. Yds Over Payout	Anytime TD Odds
46.5	-115	15.5	-111	+120

Aaron Jones vs. Detroit Game Info

Matchup: Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions
Game Day: September 28, 2023
Game Time: 8:15 PM
Rushing Yards Prop: Over 46.5 (-115)
Receiving Yards Prop: Over 15.5 (-111)
TV: Watch on Amazon Prime Video

Aaron Jones Stats (2022)

Carries	Rush Yards	Rush TDs	Rush Yards/Carry	Targets	Receptions	Rec Yards	Rec TDs
213	1,121	2	5.3	72	59	395	5

Aaron Jones Betting Insights

Jones averaged 65.9 rushing yards last year, 19.4 more than Thursday's prop.
In 52.9% of his games last season (nine of 17), he gained more than 46.5 yards on the ground.
The average rushing yards prop for Jones last season (58.3) was below his season average on the ground (65.9).
Last year he hit the over seven times on his rushing yards prop (in 17 opportunities).
Jones ran for a touchdown in two games last year, but did not have more than one rushing TD either time.

Lions' Defense 2022 Rankings

Stat	AVG (Rank)
Pass Yds/Game Allowed	245.8 (30)
Pass Yds/Attempt Allowed	7.5 (31)
Rush Yds/Game Allowed	146.5 (29)
Rush Yds/Attempt Allowed	5.2 (30)
Total Yds/Game Allowed	392.4 (32)
Yards/Play Allowed	6.4 (32)
Points/Game Allowed	25.1 (28)

Packers' 2022 Stats

The Packers totaled 337.9 yards per game on offense last year (17th in NFL), and they allowed 336.5 yards per game (17th) on defense.
Looking at pace stats, Green Bay was 19th in the NFL last season, getting off 62 offensive plays per contest.
From an offensive standpoint, the Packers ranked 17th in the NFL with 213.6 passing yards per game last season. Meanwhile, they ranked sixth in passing yards allowed per contest (197).
Offensively, the Packers ranked 15th in the NFL last season with 124.3 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, they ranked 26th in rushing yards allowed per contest (139.5).
Last season, Green Bay was 17th in the NFL with a pass rate of 53.6%. Meanwhile, it was ranked 15th with a rush rate of 43.4% (with 3% of its offensive plays ending in a sack).
In addition to 6 yards per play allowed on defense last season, which ranked fifth-worst in the NFL, the Packers put up the 12th-ranked yards-per-play average on offense (5.7).