49ers vs. Commanders Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 31

Published Dec. 27, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The San Francisco 49ers (11-4) are heavy favorites (-13.5) over the Washington Commanders (4-11). The Commanders have dropped six games straight. The game has an over/under of 49.5 points.

49ers vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines

49ers vs Commanders Betting Information updated as of December 27, 2023, 11:34 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
49ers	-13.5	-110	-110	49.5	-112	-108

49ers vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: San Francisco (-13.5)
Pick OU: Under (49.5)
Prediction: San Francisco 35 - Washington 14

How to Watch San Francisco vs. Washington

Game Date: Sunday, December 31, 2023
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: FedExField
Location: Landover, Maryland
TV: Watch on FOX

49ers vs. Commanders Recent Matchups

In their last five head-to-head bouts, San Francisco has defeated Washington four times.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, San Francisco has scored 114 points versus Washington, while giving up only 65 points.

San Francisco Betting Info

Against the spread, San Francisco is 8-7-0 this year.
The 49ers have been favored by 13.5 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
San Francisco games this year have gone over the total in eight out of 15 opportunities (53.3%).
When playing as the moneyline favorite, the 49ers are 11-4 (winning 73.3% of the time).
San Francisco has played in three games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -900 or shorter and won each of them.
The 49ers have a 90.0% chance to win this game, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

49ers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	265.7 (3,985)	2
Rush yards	138.7 (2,080)	4
Points scored	29.6 (444)	3
Pass yards against	222.0 (3,330)	16
Rush yards against	90.3 (1,354)	3
Points allowed	17.8 (267)	3

San Francisco's Key Players

Offense

Christian McCaffrey's rushing stat line this season includes 1,395 yards (first in the NFL) and 14 TDs. He is averaging 93.0 yards per game and 5.4 per attempt (fourth in the NFL).
He has caught 63 passes (on 78 targets) for 537 receiving yards with seven touchdowns. He's averaging 35.8 receving yards and 4.2 catches per game.
Brock Purdy has 4,050 passing yards (second in the NFL), 29 touchdowns (second in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He has completed 68.8% of his passes, averaging 270.0 yards per game and 9.7 per attempt.
He has rushed for 140 yards (fifth on the 49ers) and added two touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 9.3 rushing yards per game.
In the passing game, Deebo Samuel, has totaled 834 receiving yards and six touchdowns after grabbing 53 balls on 81 targets. Per game, he's averaging 64.2 yards and 4.1 receptions through 13 games.
Brandon Aiyuk has 65 receptions for 1,203 yards (eighth in the NFL) and six touchdowns. He's been targeted 93 times in the air attack, and averages 4.6 receptions and 85.9 yards through 14 games played.

Defense

Over on defense, Fred Warner has 126 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and four interceptions in 2023. His tackle total leads the 49ers.
Nick Bosa has 10.5 sacks (first on the 49ers) in addition to his 14.0 TFL and 49 tackles.
Dre Greenlaw has recorded 110 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks this year.
Charvarius Ward has four interceptions (fifth in the NFL) while adding 64 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 22 passes defended.

Washington Betting Info

Washington has covered the spread in a matchup six times this season (6-8-1).
This season, nine Washington games have gone over the point total.
This season, the Commanders have been the underdog 11 times and won three, or 27.3%, of those games.
Washington has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +600 moneyline set for this game.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Commanders have a 14.3% chance to win.

Commanders Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	228.8 (3,432)	16
Rush yards	98.7 (1,480)	21
Points scored	20.6 (309)	23
Pass yards against	261.6 (3,924)	31
Rush yards against	122.7 (1,840)	23
Points allowed	30.2 (453)	32

Washington's Key Players

Offense

Sam Howell has passed for 3,624 yards this year, with 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions. He is completing 63.2% of his attempts while averaging 241.6 yards per game and 6.5 per attempt.
On the ground, Howell has added five rushing touchdowns and 265 rushing yards (second on the Commanders).
Brian Robinson Jr. averages 51.1 rushing yards per game through 13 games (664 total yards), while scoring five rushing touchdowns.
Robinson has also collected 326 receiving yards (25.1 per game) on 29 catches (2.2 per game). He's been targeted 36 times and has caught three touchdown passes.
Through 15 games played this season, Terry McLaurin has 69 catches (4.6 receptions per game on 7.8 targets per game) for 885 yards and three receiving touchdowns.
Curtis Samuel has been targeted 83 times, resulting in 57 catches for 565 yards .

Defense

Kamren Curl has 1.0 sack to go with 3.0 TFL and 106 tackles over 15 games in 2023.
Kendall Fuller's stat sheet includes two interceptions as well as 79 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and nine passes defended.
Da'Ron Payne has 4.0 sacks (third on the Commanders) as well as 12.0 TFL and 49 tackles in the 2023 campaign.
Cody Barton has intercepted one pass in addition to 101 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one pass defended.

Ravens handle 49ers in Week 16: Lamar Jackson 2 TDs, Brock Purdy 4 INTs | Undisputed

Skip Bayless, Richard Sherman and Keyshawn Johnson discuss the Baltimore Ravens win over the San Francisco 49ers in Week 16. Lamar Jackson tallied 297 total yards, 2 TD and Brock Purdy totaled 255 Pass Yds, 4 INTs in Week 16.